2016 N.C. 3A Football Power Ratings


Last updated: Monday, December 19, 2016 - final ratings

Welcome to my overall ratings page.  I will be updating these records by every 
Thursday night during the season.  To determine the predicted point spread for 
a game, simply take the difference between the two teams' ratings, and add 2
points for the home team.

These ratings are based on a mathematical formula involving several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games. 
The most recent games are counted with slightly more emphasis than those
played earlier in the season.  Forfeits ARE reflected in the records, but ARE
NOT included in the power ratings, or strength of schedule rankings.

SS = strength of schedule rankings among the 100 3A teams included in these
ratings (1 is strongest and 100 is weakest)

*  = record contains forfeits


Notes:

1) 3A R-S Central has forfeited its week 1 win over 4A McDowell for use of
an ineligible player.

2) 3A Swansboro defeated 1A Lejeune 17-0 in week 1 but that game was only 1 
quarter in length.  For purposes of the power ratings, I am counting this game
as a forfeit.

3) 3A Northern Vance has been banned from the 2016 playoffs due to having 
exceeded the number of team ejections that are allowed in a given season.

4) 3A Cedar Ridge has been banned from the 2016 playoffs due to having 
exceeded the number of team ejections that is allowed in a given season.

5) 3A C.B. Aycock has forfeited 4 victories due to the use of ineligible
players, to the following teams: 2A North Lenoir in week 3, 2A Goldsboro in
week 4, 3A Corinth Holders in week 5, and 3A Southern Wayne in week 7.

3A RANKINGS W L T RATING SS
1 Weddington 13 3 0 145.2 3
2 Havelock 13 2 0 144.0 11
3 Rocky Mount 13 3 0 143.2 1
4 West Craven 12 1 0 141.5 34
5 South Point 12 4 0 140.6 21
6 Southern Nash 12 1 0 140.5 9
7 Eastern Guilford 15 1 0 136.9 31
8 Lee County 12 2 0 136.8 39
9 Hibriten 14 1 0 136.4 81
10 Reynolds, A.C. 11 3 0 134.4 40
11 Western Alamance 11 3 0 134.1 49
12 Orange 12 1 0 134.0 88
13 Hickory Ridge 12 3 0 132.1 32
14 Sanford, Terry 9 4 0 130.1 6
15 Marvin Ridge 8 6 0 130.0 2
16 Robinson, Jay M. 10 3 0 129.2 45
17 Southern Lee 8 4 0 128.4 17
18 South Iredell 9 4 0 127.3 53
19 Sun Valley 8 4 0 127.3 7
20 Westover 8 4 0 126.6 14
21 West Rowan 10 4 0 125.6 20
22 Tuscola 11 2 0 125.5 90
23 Jacksonville 10 5 0 125.4 28
24 Southern Guilford 11 3 0 125.3 48
25 Eastern Alamance 10 3 0 123.8 78
26 Southern Durham 7 5 0 123.2 23
27 Crest 9 4 0 122.5 38
28 Burns 10 3 0 122.3 51
29 Ledford 9 4 0 122.1 73
30 Concord 8 4 0 121.2 67
31 West Brunswick 9 4 0 120.9 41
32 Kings Mountain 8 4 0 119.6 71
33 Cleveland 9 4 0 118.9 42
34 Nash Central 7 5 0 118.9 30
35 Asheboro 9 4 0 118.1 86
36 Cuthbertson 6 6 0 117.9 22
37 Triton 8 4 0 117.7 58
38 Pisgah 12 2 0 116.9 92
39 Erwin 7 6 0 115.6 12
40 Northern Nash 5 7 0 114.3 16
41 Northwood 6 6 0 112.2 56
42 West Carteret 7 5 0 111.5 35
43 Asheville 6 6 0 111.3 57
44 South Johnston 6 7 0 111.1 44
45 Forestview 7 5 0 111.1 55
46 Fike 6 6 0 109.2 15
47 Central Cabarrus 5 7 0 109.1 37
48 Anson 4 8 0 109.1 10
49 Williams 6 6 0 108.3 75
50 Patton 8 5 0 107.9 84
51 Gray's Creek 2 9 0 107.0 4
52 Northern Guilford 4 8 0 106.7 8
53 Union Pines 6 6 0 106.0 64
54 Hunt 3 8 0 105.6 13
55 Freedom 6 6 0 105.4 74
56 Cedar Ridge 6 5 0 104.8 95
57 Statesville 5 7 0 104.1 33
58 Piedmont 3 8 0 103.5 19
59 Ashbrook 4 8 0 102.3 59
60 East Rowan 4 8 0 102.0 47
61 North Forsyth 5 7 0 101.8 76
62 Carson 4 8 0 100.3 50
63 Topsail 4 8 0 99.8 54
64 Aycock, C.B.* 2 9 0 99.1 98
65 Northeast Guilford 4 8 0 99.0 25
66 McMichael 3 9 0 98.7 24
67 Cox Mill 3 8 0 96.3 43
68 Corinth Holders* 3 9 0 93.9 68
69 West Henderson 4 8 0 92.2 70
70 Western Guilford 3 8 0 92.2 61
71 Northern Vance 5 6 0 92.1 100
72 Northwest Cabarrus 2 9 0 90.4 27
73 North Henderson 3 8 0 88.7 82
74 Byrd, Douglas 0 11 0 88.5 5
75 Eastern Wayne 4 7 0 87.7 80
76 North Lincoln 2 9 0 86.1 52
77 White Oak 1 9 0 85.9 18
78 Rockingham County 1 10 0 85.4 46
79 Richlands 2 9 0 84.7 60
80 West Iredell 3 8 0 84.0 83
81 Hickory 2 9 0 83.2 66
82 Western Harnett 2 9 0 83.2 65
83 East Gaston 3 8 0 82.7 79
84 St. Stephens 3 8 0 82.3 97
85 Foard, Fred T. 3 8 0 79.4 94
86 Southern Wayne* 2 8 0 79.0 89
87 North Iredell 0 11 0 78.0 77
88 North Gaston 1 10 0 78.0 72
89 South Rowan 1 10 0 77.8 36
90 Swansboro* 3 8 0 77.2 91
91 Enka 2 9 0 76.6 87
92 North Buncombe 0 11 0 75.5 62
93 Webb, J.F. 2 9 0 74.8 99
94 Morehead 0 11 0 73.6 29
95 South Brunswick 1 10 0 73.2 63
96 Chapel Hill 2 9 0 72.8 85
97 Smithfield-Selma 0 11 0 71.8 26
98 Southwestern Randolph 1 10 0 70.1 93
99 East Henderson 0 11 0 64.8 69
100 Central Davidson 0 11 0 58.8 96