2017 NC High School Football Predictions

Last updated: Thursday, December 7, 2017 - thru games of December 1

Prediction Accuracy

PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 7 PTS. ON SPREAD: LAST WEEK: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 50% right and within 7 pts.(8/16) SEASON TOTAL: 2091 right, 405 wrong - 84% right; 34% right and within 7 pts.(845/2496) SEASON PERFORMANCE WEEK-BY-WEEK: Week 0: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 0% right and within 7 pts.(0/1) Week 1: 148 right, 49 wrong - 75% right; 25% right and within 7 pts.(49/197) Week 2: 159 right, 42 wrong - 79% right; 25% right and within 7 pts.(51/201) Week 3: 162 right, 27 wrong - 86% right; 35% right and within 7 pts.(67/189) Week 4: 162 right, 33 wrong - 83% right; 29% right and within 7 pts.(57/195) Week 5: 136 right, 28 wrong - 83% right; 32% right and within 7 pts.(53/164) Week 6: 168 right, 23 wrong - 88% right; 37% right and within 7 pts.(70/191) Week 7: 133 right, 30 wrong - 82% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(59/163) Week 8: 163 right, 33 wrong - 83% right; 39% right and within 7 pts.(76/196) Week 9: 174 right, 23 wrong - 88% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(70/197) Week 10: 171 right, 24 wrong - 88% right; 39% right and within 7 pts.(77/195) Week 11: 161 right, 36 wrong - 82% right; 31% right and within 7 pts.(62/197) Week 12: 167 right, 25 wrong - 87% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(72/192) Playoffs: Week 1: 90 right, 14 wrong - 87% right; 41% right and within 7 pts.(43/104) Week 2: 57 right, 9 wrong - 86% right; 29% right and within 7 pts.(19/66) Week 3: 26 right, 6 wrong - 81% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(12/32) Regionals: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 50% right and within 7 pts.(8/16)
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running clock once spread hits 42). For example, 60 points would become 51; 50 points would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more accurate as the season progresses.

Last Week's Results

NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 1, 2017
REGIONAL FINALS
4AA PICK SCORE
East - #3 Garner (9-4) at #1 Wake Forest (13-0) W by 28 W 51-21
West - #7 Hough (10-3) at #1 Mallard Creek (13-0) M by 14 M 20-10

4A PICK SCORE
East - #2 Hoggard (13-0) at #1 Scotland (11-1) S by 10 S 47-46(ot)
West - #6 Vance (11-3) at #1 Harding (12-1) H by 14 H 20-14

3AA PICK SCORE
East - #4 Eastern Guilford (12-2) at #2 New Hanover (13-1) N by 7 N 32-29
West - #12 Sun Valley (11-3) at #2 A.C. Reynolds (13-1) Even - S R 28-25

3A PICK SCORE
East - #2 Havelock (13-1) at #1 Western Alamance (14-0) H by 3 H 41-14
West - #3 Jay M. Robinson (12-2) at #1 Charlotte Catholic (14-0) C by 24 C 33-15

2AA PICK SCORE
East - #2 North Davidson (13-1) at #1 East Duplin (14-0) E by 9 E 38-28
West - #8 Shelby (12-2) at #2 Hibriten (14-0) S by 1 H 19-7

2A PICK SCORE
East - #5 Wallace-Rose Hill (12-1) at #3 Southwest Onslow (11-3) W by 16 W 49-7
West - #2 Mountain Heritage (13-0) at #1 Reidsville (14-0) R by 12 R 27-20

1AA PICK SCORE
East - #2 Edenton Holmes (12-1) at #1 Tarboro (13-0) T by 6 T 50-7
West - #6 Murphy (12-2) at #1 Mount Airy (13-0) MA by 7 MA 49-35

1A PICK SCORE
East - #6 Plymouth (9-5) at #1 North Duplin (13-0) N by 12 N 12-6
West - #2 Cherokee (12-1) at #1 Mitchell (12-1) M by 16 C 42-28
For the week: 13/16 81.3%
Correct pick and within 7 points or less: 8/16 50.0%


This Week's Picks




NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - DECEMBER 9, 2017
STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS
4AA - at Wake Forest Univ. PICK
Wake Forest (14-0) vs. Mallard Creek (14-0) W by 7
4A - at Wake Forest Univ. PICK
Scotland (12-1) vs. Harding (13-1) S by 4
3AA - at Duke Univ. PICK
New Hanover (14-1) vs. A.C. Reynolds (14-1) N by 9
3A - at Duke Univ. PICK
Havelock (14-1) vs. Charlotte Catholic (15-0) C by 4
2AA - at Univ. of North Carolina PICK
East Duplin (15-0) vs. Hibriten (15-0) E by 1
2A - at Univ. of North Carolina PICK
Wallace-Rose Hill (13-1) vs. Reidsville (15-0) W by 4
1AA - at N.C. State Univ. PICK
Tarboro (14-0) vs. Mount Airy (14-0) T by 12
1A - at N.C. State Univ. PICK
North Duplin (14-0) vs. Cherokee (13-1) C by 7