PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 8 PTS. ON SPREAD:
SEASON TOTAL: 1899 right, 387 wrong - 83% right; 39% right and within 8 pts. (890/2286)
Week by week:
Week 0: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 29% right and within 8 pts. (4/14)
Week 1: 152 right, 50 wrong - 75% right; 29% right and within 8 pts. (59/202)
Week 2: 133 right, 43 wrong - 76% right; 30% right and within 8 pts. (52/176)
Week 3: 156 right, 38 wrong - 80% right; 33% right and within 8 pts. (64/194)
Week 4: 123 right, 24 wrong - 84% right; 42% right and within 8 pts. (62/147)
Week 5: 154 right, 33 wrong - 82% right; 40% right and within 8 pts. (74/187)
Week 6: 113 right, 20 wrong - 85% right; 35% right and within 8 pts. (47/133)
Week 7: 154 right, 23 wrong - 87% right; 40% right and within 8 pts. (71/177)
Week 8: 160 right, 26 wrong - 86% right; 45% right and within 8 pts. (83/186)
Week 9: 167 right, 26 wrong - 87% right; 36% right and within 8 pts. (69/193)
Week 10: 171 right, 24 wrong - 88% right; 46% right and within 8 pts. (89/195)
Week 11: 166 right, 30 wrong - 85% right; 46% right and within 8 pts. (90/196)
Week 12: 31 right, 11 wrong - 74% right; 43% right and within 8 pts. (18/42)
Round 1: 111 right, 16 wrong - 87% right; 47% right and within 8 pts. (60/127)
Round 2: 53 right, 12 wrong - 82% right; 34% right and within 8 pts. (22/65)
Round 3: 29 right, 3 wrong - 90% right; 56% right and within 8 pts. (18/32)
Round 4: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 38% right and within 8 pts. (6/16)
Regionals: 7 right, 1 wrong - 88% right; 25% right and within 8 pts. (2/8)
State Finals: 4 right, 0 wrong -100% right; 50% right and within 8 pts. (2/4)
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two
teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory
exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and
divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running
clock once spread hits 42). For example, 60 points would become 51; 50 points
would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more accurate as the season
progresses.
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 20, 2024-SATURDAY DECEMBER 21, 2024 | |
|
| STATE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES | |
|
| 4A - AT UNC (FRIDAY AT 7 PM) | PICK | SCORE
|
| Grimsley (15-0) vs. Rolesville (14-1) | G by 1 | G 35-23
|
| | |
|
| 3A - AT NCSU (SATURDAY AT 11 AM) | PICK | SCORE
|
| West Charlotte (12-2) vs. Seventy-First (15-0) | W by 2 | W 14-7
|
| | |
|
| 2A - AT UNC (SATURDAY AT 6:30 PM) | PICK | SCORE
|
| Monroe (14-0) vs. Northeastern (15-0) | M by 16 | M 35-25
|
| | |
|
| 1A - AT NCSU (SATURDAY AT 3:30 PM) | PICK | SCORE
|
| Corvian Community School (15-0) vs. Tarboro (13-1) | T by 8 | T 45-24
|
| | |
|
| For the week: | 4/4 | 100.0%
|
| Correct pick and within 8 points or less: | 2/4 | 50.0%
|
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 13, 2024 | |
|
| REGIONAL FINALS | |
|
| 4A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #5 Rolesville (13-1) at #2 Cardinal Gibbons (12-1) | R by 8 | R 38-31
|
| West - #2 Weddington (13-0) at #1 Grimsley (14-0) | G by 3 | G 35-23
|
| | |
|
| 3A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #12 Jacksonville (12-1) at #2 Seventy-First (14-0) | S by 5 | S 43-7
|
| West - #8 West Charlotte (11-2) at #3 Hickory (14-0) | W by 5 | W 36-20
|
| | |
|
| 2A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #2 Whiteville (13-1) at #1 Northeastern (14-0) | N by 13 | N 24-14
|
| West - #9 Brevard (11-2) at #3 Monroe (13-0) | M by 15 | M 41-15
|
| | |
|
| 1A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #3 Wilson Prep (12-1) at #1 Tarboro (12-1) | T by 33 | T 59-6
|
| West - #5 Corvian Community School (14-0) at #2 Mountain Heritage (12-0) | M by 2 | C 28-19
|
| | |
|
| For the week: | 7/8 | 87.5%
|
| Correct pick and within 8 points or less: | 2/8 | 25.0%
|