## 2014 NC High School Football Predictions

Last updated: Thursday, August 21, 2014 - preseason

## Prediction Accuracy

PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 7 PTS. ON SPREAD: LAST WEEK: 1 right, 2 wrong - 33% right; 33% right and within 7 pts.(1/3) SEASON TOTAL: 1 right, 2 wrong - 33% right; 33% right and within 7 pts.(1/3) SEASON PERFORMANCE WEEK-BY-WEEK: Week 0: 1 right, 2 wrong - 33% accuracy rate; 33% right and within 7 pts.

I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running clock once spread hits 42). For example, 60 points would become 51; 50 points would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more accurate as the season progresses.

## Last Week's Results

WEEK 0 - FRIDAY AUGUST 15, 2014 | Pick | Score |

Asheville Saints (Ind) at Hickory Hawks (Ind) | A by 13 | A 20-8 |

Cabarrus Stallions (Ind) at Lake Norman Storm (Ind) | L by 2 | C 20-0 |

Tennessee Silverbacks (Ind) at Carolina Crusaders (Ind) | T by 15 | C 36-12 |

For the week: | 1/3 | 33.3% |

7 points or less: | 1/3 | 33.3% |

## This Week's Picks

WEEK 1 - FRIDAY AUGUST 22, 2014 | Pick |

Albemarle (1A) at Davidson Day (Ind) | D by 24 |

Andrews, T.W. (2A) at High Point Central (4A) | H by 16 |

Anson (3A) at Forest Hills (2A) | A by 5 |

Apex (4A) at Harnett Central (4A) | A by 27 |

Asheboro (3A) at Eastern Randolph (2A) | A by 16 |

Asheville Saints (1-0, Ind) at Cabarrus Stallions (1-0, Ind)* (Saturday) | C by 29 |

Ashley (4A) at Hoke County (4A) | H by 24 |

Aycock, C.B. (3A) at Rosewood (1A) | A by 16 |

Beddingfield (2A) at Greene Central (2A) | B by 24 |

Bessemer City (1A) at North Gaston (3A) | N by 28 |

Brevard (2A) at Rosman (1A) | R by 15 |

Britt, Jack (4A) at Southeast Raleigh (4A) | S by 2 |

Brown, A.L. (4A) at Concord (3A) | B by 4 |

Bunker Hill (2A) at Cherryville (1A) | B by 10 |

Bunn (2A) at Fike (3A) | F by 10 |

Burns (3A) at Ashbrook (3A) | A by 13 |

Butler (4A) at West Charlotte (4A) | B by 45 |

Byrd, Douglas (3A) at Lumberton (4A) | L by 6 |

Capitol Christian Academy (MD) at Southern Durham (3A) (Saturday) | S by 48 |

Cardinal Gibbons (3A) at Green Hope (4A) | C by 2 |

Carolina Pride (Ind) at Union Academy (1A) | C by 1 |

Carolina Wildcats (SC) at Southlake Christian (Ind) | S by 49 |

Carver (2A) at Dudley (4A) | D by 33 |

Cary (4A) at Broughton (4A) | C by 16 |

Cedar Ridge (3A) at Carrboro (2A) | Car by 6 |

Central Academy (2A) at North Stanly (1A) | N by 15 |

CFA Academy (Ind) at Metrolina Christian (Ind)* | M by 11 |

Chapel Hill (3A) at Riverside(Durham) (4A) | R by 6 |

Charlotte Catholic (4A) at Providence Day (Ind) (Saturday) | C by 41 |

Charlotte Christian (Ind) vs. Mallard Creek (4A) (Thursday) | M by 8 |

Chatham Central (1A) at Wake Christian (Ind) | W by 36 |

Cherokee (1A) at Tuscola (3A) | T by 44 |

Clayton (4A) at Cleveland (3A) | Clev by 6 |

Cloudland (TN) at Avery County (1A) | C by 9 |

Columbia (1A) at Mattamuskeet (1A) | C by 7 |

Comm. Sch. of Davidson (1A) at Bishop McGuinness (1A) | B by 20 |

Conley, D.H. (4A) at North Pitt (2A) | C by 23 |

Corinth Holders (3A) at Northern Nash (3A) | C by 7 |

Crest (3A) at South Point (3A) | C by 12 |

Croatan (2A) at Pamlico (1A) | P by 21 |

Cummings (2A) at Western Alamance (3A) | W by 46 |

Darlington (GA) at Murphy (1A) | M by 8 |

Davie County (4A) at Page (4A) | P by 12 |

East Duplin (2A) at Richlands (3A) | E by 9 |

East Forsyth (4A) at Reynolds, R.J. (4A) | E by 43 |

East Gaston (3A) at East Lincoln (2A) | EL by 35 |

East Henderson (3A) at Swain County (1A) | S by 42 |

East Mecklenburg (4A) at Berry Academy (4A) | B by 17 |

East Rowan (3A) at North Rowan (2A) | N by 35 |

East Rutherford (2A) at Erwin (3A) | Erw by 17 |

East Wake (4A) at South Johnston (3A) | E by 30 |

East Wilkes (1A) at South Stokes (2A) | E by 16 |

Eastern Alamance (3A) at Graham (2A) | E by 30 |

Eastern Guilford (3A) at Southern Guilford (3A) | E by 6 |

Elkin (1A) at Forbush (2A) | F by 19 |

Enka (3A) at Owen, C.D. (2A) | O by 39 |

Fairmont (2A) at East Bladen (2A) | E by 23 |

Farmville Central (2A) at Plymouth (1A) | F by 2 |

First Flight (2A) at Dixon (2A) | D by 5 |

Foard, Fred T. (3A) at Maiden (2A) | M by 46 |

Forestview (3A) at Nation Ford (SC) | F by 1 |

Forsyth Country Day (Ind) at Atkins (1A) | F by 6 |

Franklinton (2A) at Goldsboro (2A) | G by 7 |

Freedom (3A) at East Burke (2A) | F by 48 |

Fuquay-Varina (4A) at Millbrook (4A) | M by 31 |

Garinger (4A) at Hopewell (4A) | H by 41 |

Garner (4A) at Middle Creek (4A) | Even (G) |

Gates County (1A) at Bertie (2A) | B by 4 |

Gray's Creek (3A) at St. Pauls (2A) | G by 13 |

Grimsley (4A) at Ragsdale (4A) | R by 12 |

Harrells Christian (Ind) at South Lenoir (2A) | H by 43 |

Hendersonville (2A) at Asheville (3A) | A by 38 |

Heritage (4A) at Holly Springs (4A) | Her by 17 |

Hibriten (3A) at West Iredell (3A) | H by 49 |

Hickory (3A) at Statesville (3A) | S by 21 |

Hickory Grove Christian (Ind) at Lake Norman Charter (2A) | H by 10 |

Hobbton (1A) at Midway (2A) | M by 39 |

Holmes (2A) at West Craven (3A) | H by 5 |

Hough (4A) vs. Sun Valley (3A) (Thursday) | H by 38 |

Hunt (3A) at South Central (4A) | H by 14 |

Independence (4A) at South Mecklenburg (4A) | I by 23 |

Jefferson, Thomas (1A) at Cramer, Stuart (2A) | J by 18 |

Jones Senior (1A) at Kinston (2A) | K by 35 |

Jordan (4A) at Leesville Road (4A) | L by 38 |

Jordan-Matthews (2A) at Providence Grove (2A) | J by 10 |

Kenan, James (1A) at Southern Wayne (3A) | K by 29 |

Kings Mountain (3A) at Huss, Hunter (2A) | K by 14 |

Lake Norman (4A) at North Mecklenburg (4A) | L by 36 |

Lake Norman Storm (0-1, Ind) at Carolina Crusaders (SC)* | C by 25 |

Lakewood (1A) at Union (1A) | L by 18 |

Ledford (3A) at West Davidson (2A) | L by 45 |

Lexington (2A) at Monroe (2A) | M by 48 |

Lincolnton (2A) at North Lincoln (3A) | L by 13 |

Louisburg (1A) at North Johnston (2A) | L by 12 |

Manteo (1A) at Currituck (2A) (Monday) | C by 19 |

McMichael (3A) at Reidsville (2A) | R by 50 |

Mooresville (4A) at West Rowan (3A) | M by 24 |

Mount Airy (1A) at Starmount (1A) | M by 17 |

Mount Pleasant (2A) at Central Cabarrus (3A) | C by 12 |

Mountain Heritage (2A) at Patton (3A) | M by 7 |

Myers Park (4A) at Olympic (4A) | O by 17 |

Nash Central (3A) at Tarboro (1A) | T by 2 |

New Bern (4A) at Hillside (4A) | H by 9 |

Newton-Conover (2A) at Chase (2A) | C by 8 |

North Buncombe (3A) at Pisgah (3A) | P by 29 |

North Davidson (4A) at Thomasville (2A) | N by 44 |

North Iredell (3A) at Wilkes Central (2A) | W by 9 |

North Lenoir (2A) at Eastern Wayne (3A) | E by 36 |

North Raleigh Christian (Ind) at Cannon School (Ind) | N by 11 |

North Stokes (1A) at Alleghany (1A) | A by 29 |

North Surry (2A) at Ashe County (2A) | A by 2 |

North Wilkes (2A) at West Caldwell (2A) | N by 10 |

Northampton County (1A) at Roanoke Rapids (2A) | R by 15 |

Northeast Prep (NR) at Fayetteville Christian (Ind) | No pick |

Northside(Pinetown) (1A) at Creswell (1A) | N by 39 |

Northwest Cabarrus (3A) at West Stanly (2A) | N by 25 |

Northwest Halifax (1A) at North Edgecombe (1A) | NE by 36 |

Northwood (3A) at East Chapel Hill (4A) | N by 49 |

Orange (3A) at Person (4A) | O by 43 |

Overhills (4A) at Pinecrest (4A) | P by 40 |

Parkland (4A) at Glenn (4A) | G by 39 |

Parkwood (2A) at Cuthbertson (3A) | C by 22 |

Pasquotank County (2A) at Camden County (1A) | C by 23 |

Pender (1A) at Laney (4A) (Monday) | L by 54 |

Piedmont (3A) at Hickory Ridge (3A) | P by 7 |

Pine Lake Prep (1A) at Vance JV (Thursday) | No pick |

Polk County (2A) at Shelby (2A) | S by 31 |

Porter Ridge (4A) at Mount Tabor (4A) | P by 2 |

Princeton (1A) at East Carteret (1A) | P by 28 |

Randleman (2A) at Southwestern Randolph (3A) | R by 21 |

Ravenscroft (Ind) at Northern Vance (3A) | R by 27 |

Reagan (4A) at North Forsyth (3A) | R by 12 |

Red Springs (2A) at White Oak (3A) | W by 11 |

Richmond Senior (4A) at Rocky River (4A) | RR by 2 |

Riverside(Williamston) (1A) at Ayden-Grifton (2A) | A by 2 |

Robbinsville (1A) at Rabun Gap-Nacoochee(GA) (Ind) | Rob by 19 |

Roberson, T.C. (4A) at North Henderson (3A) | R by 31 |

Robinson, J.M. (4A) at Cox Mill (3A) | C by 17 |

Rockingham County (3A) at Southwest Guilford (4A) | S by 18 |

Rocky Mount Prep (1A) at KIPP Pride Academy (1A) | K by 9 |

Rolesville (4A) at Lee County (3A) | L by 41 |

Rose, J.H. (4A) at Athens Drive (4A) | R by 22 |

R-S Central (2A) at McDowell (4A) | R by 7 |

Salisbury (2A) at Carson (3A) (Saturday) | C by 23 |

Sanderson (4A) at Knightdale (4A) | K by 6 |

Sandhills Titans (Ind) at Peculiar Generation (PG) Lions (Ind) | Even (P) |

Sanford, Terry (3A) at Smith, E.E. (4A) | T by 1 |

Scotland (4A) at South View (4A) | Scot by 13 |

Seventy-First (4A) at Westover (3A) | S by 45 |

Smith, Ben L. (4A) at Northwest Guilford (4A) | N by 31 |

Smithfield-Selma (3A) at West Johnston (4A) | W by 45 |

Smoky Mountain (2A) at Andrews (1A) | S by 12 |

Socastee (SC) at West Brunswick (3A) (Saturday) | S by 35 |

South Brunswick (3A) at Wallace-Rose Hill (1A) | W by 36 |

South Columbus (2A) at Hoggard (4A) (Saturday) | H by 43 |

South Creek (1A) at Perquimans (1A) | S by 16 |

South Davidson (1A) at East Davidson (2A) | E by 41 |

South Granville (2A) at Rocky Mount (3A) | R by 19 |

South Iredell (3A) at South Rowan (3A) (Saturday) | SI by 28 |

Southeast Guilford (4A) at Northern Durham (4A) | S by 36 |

Southeast Halifax (1A) at Hertford County (2A) | Even (S) |

Southern Alamance (4A) at Williams (3A) | S by 6 |

Southern Nash (3A) at Southwest Edgecombe (2A) | SWE by 7 |

Southern Vance (2A) at Northeastern (2A) | N by 34 |

Southside (1A) at North Duplin (1A) | N by 13 |

Southwest Onslow (2A) at Jacksonville (3A) | J by 7 |

St. Stephens (3A) at Bandys (2A) | B by 9 |

Summerville (SC) at Providence (4A) | S by 5 |

Surry Central (2A) at East Surry (1A) | E by 21 |

Swansboro (3A) at Lejeune (1A) | S by 5 |

Swett, Purnell (4A) at Pine Forest (4A) | PF by 9 |

Tennessee Silverbacks (TN) at Hickory Hawks (0-1, Ind)* (Saturday) | T by 27 |

Towns County (GA) at Hayesville (1A) | H by 27 |

Trask (1A) at Topsail (3A) (Saturday) | Top by 21 |

Trinity (2A) at North Moore (1A) | T by 6 |

Triton (3A) at Cape Fear (4A) | C by 3 |

Union Pines (3A) at East Montgomery (1A) | E by 7 |

Vance (4A) at West Mecklenburg (4A) | V by 1 |

Victory Christian (Ind) at Trinity Christian (Ind) | V by 18 |

Village Christian (Ind) at High Point Christian (Ind) (Saturday) | H by 36 |

Wake Forest (4A) at Panther Creek (4A) | W by 31 |

Washington (2A) at Havelock (3A) | H by 29 |

Watauga (4A) at Alexander Central (4A) | W by 21 |

Webb, J.F. (3A) at Granville Central (1A) | W by 15 |

Weddington (3A) at Ardrey Kell (4A) | W by 5 |

West Bladen (2A) at South Robeson (1A) | W by 20 |

West Carteret (3A) at Northside(Jacksonville) (2A) | N by 22 |

West Columbus (1A) at East Columbus (1A) | E by 2 |

West Forsyth (4A) at Reynolds, A.C. (3A) | W by 10 |

West Henderson (3A) at Madison (2A) | W by 11 |

West Lincoln (2A) at Draughn (2A) | W by 16 |

West Montgomery (1A) at Marvin Ridge (3A) | W by 8 |

West Stokes (2A) at Central Davidson (3A) | W by 22 |

West Wilkes (1A) at Mitchell (1A) | W by 4 |

Western Guilford (3A) at Morehead (3A) | M by 24 |

Western Harnett (3A) at Southern Lee (3A) | W by 1 |

Whiteville (1A) at North Brunswick (2A) (Saturday) | Whi by 14 |

Yancey, Bartlett (2A) at Wheatmore (2A) | Y by 12 |