## 2017 NC High School Football Predictions

Last updated: Thursday, December 7, 2017 - thru games of December 1

## Prediction Accuracy

PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 7 PTS. ON SPREAD: LAST WEEK: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 50% right and within 7 pts.(8/16) SEASON TOTAL: 2091 right, 405 wrong - 84% right; 34% right and within 7 pts.(845/2496) SEASON PERFORMANCE WEEK-BY-WEEK: Week 0: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 0% right and within 7 pts.(0/1) Week 1: 148 right, 49 wrong - 75% right; 25% right and within 7 pts.(49/197) Week 2: 159 right, 42 wrong - 79% right; 25% right and within 7 pts.(51/201) Week 3: 162 right, 27 wrong - 86% right; 35% right and within 7 pts.(67/189) Week 4: 162 right, 33 wrong - 83% right; 29% right and within 7 pts.(57/195) Week 5: 136 right, 28 wrong - 83% right; 32% right and within 7 pts.(53/164) Week 6: 168 right, 23 wrong - 88% right; 37% right and within 7 pts.(70/191) Week 7: 133 right, 30 wrong - 82% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(59/163) Week 8: 163 right, 33 wrong - 83% right; 39% right and within 7 pts.(76/196) Week 9: 174 right, 23 wrong - 88% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(70/197) Week 10: 171 right, 24 wrong - 88% right; 39% right and within 7 pts.(77/195) Week 11: 161 right, 36 wrong - 82% right; 31% right and within 7 pts.(62/197) Week 12: 167 right, 25 wrong - 87% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(72/192) Playoffs: Week 1: 90 right, 14 wrong - 87% right; 41% right and within 7 pts.(43/104) Week 2: 57 right, 9 wrong - 86% right; 29% right and within 7 pts.(19/66) Week 3: 26 right, 6 wrong - 81% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(12/32) Regionals: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 50% right and within 7 pts.(8/16)

I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running clock once spread hits 42). For example, 60 points would become 51; 50 points would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more accurate as the season progresses.

## Last Week's Results

NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 1, 2017 | ||

REGIONAL FINALS | ||

4AA | PICK | SCORE |

East - #3 Garner (9-4) at #1 Wake Forest (13-0) | W by 28 | W 51-21 |

West - #7 Hough (10-3) at #1 Mallard Creek (13-0) | M by 14 | M 20-10 |

| ||

4A | PICK | SCORE |

East - #2 Hoggard (13-0) at #1 Scotland (11-1) | S by 10 | S 47-46(ot) |

West - #6 Vance (11-3) at #1 Harding (12-1) | H by 14 | H 20-14 |

| ||

3AA | PICK | SCORE |

East - #4 Eastern Guilford (12-2) at #2 New Hanover (13-1) | N by 7 | N 32-29 |

West - #12 Sun Valley (11-3) at #2 A.C. Reynolds (13-1) | Even - S | R 28-25 |

| ||

3A | PICK | SCORE |

East - #2 Havelock (13-1) at #1 Western Alamance (14-0) | H by 3 | H 41-14 |

West - #3 Jay M. Robinson (12-2) at #1 Charlotte Catholic (14-0) | C by 24 | C 33-15 |

| ||

2AA | PICK | SCORE |

East - #2 North Davidson (13-1) at #1 East Duplin (14-0) | E by 9 | E 38-28 |

West - #8 Shelby (12-2) at #2 Hibriten (14-0) | S by 1 | H 19-7 |

| ||

2A | PICK | SCORE |

East - #5 Wallace-Rose Hill (12-1) at #3 Southwest Onslow (11-3) | W by 16 | W 49-7 |

West - #2 Mountain Heritage (13-0) at #1 Reidsville (14-0) | R by 12 | R 27-20 |

| ||

1AA | PICK | SCORE |

East - #2 Edenton Holmes (12-1) at #1 Tarboro (13-0) | T by 6 | T 50-7 |

West - #6 Murphy (12-2) at #1 Mount Airy (13-0) | MA by 7 | MA 49-35 |

| ||

1A | PICK | SCORE |

East - #6 Plymouth (9-5) at #1 North Duplin (13-0) | N by 12 | N 12-6 |

West - #2 Cherokee (12-1) at #1 Mitchell (12-1) | M by 16 | C 42-28 |

For the week: | 13/16 | 81.3% |

Correct pick and within 7 points or less: | 8/16 | 50.0% |

## This Week's Picks

NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - DECEMBER 9, 2017 | |

STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS | |

4AA - at Wake Forest Univ. | PICK |

Wake Forest (14-0) vs. Mallard Creek (14-0) | W by 7 |

4A - at Wake Forest Univ. | PICK |

Scotland (12-1) vs. Harding (13-1) | S by 4 |

3AA - at Duke Univ. | PICK |

New Hanover (14-1) vs. A.C. Reynolds (14-1) | N by 9 |

3A - at Duke Univ. | PICK |

Havelock (14-1) vs. Charlotte Catholic (15-0) | C by 4 |

2AA - at Univ. of North Carolina | PICK |

East Duplin (15-0) vs. Hibriten (15-0) | E by 1 |

2A - at Univ. of North Carolina | PICK |

Wallace-Rose Hill (13-1) vs. Reidsville (15-0) | W by 4 |

1AA - at N.C. State Univ. | PICK |

Tarboro (14-0) vs. Mount Airy (14-0) | T by 12 |

1A - at N.C. State Univ. | PICK |

North Duplin (14-0) vs. Cherokee (13-1) | C by 7 |