2013 NC High School Football Predictions

Last updated: Thursday, December 12, 2013 - thru games of December 6

Prediction Accuracy

PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 7 PTS. ON SPREAD: LAST WEEK: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(6/16) SEASON TOTAL: 2007 right, 430 wrong - 82% right; 33% right and within 7 pts.(794/2436) SEASON PERFORMANCE WEEK-BY-WEEK: Week 1: 143 right, 50 wrong - 74% accuracy rate; 24% right and within 7 pts. Week 2: 158 right, 40 wrong - 80% accuracy rate; 30% right and within 7 pts. Week 3: 153 right, 33 wrong - 82% accuracy rate; 31% right and within 7 pts. Week 4: 149 right, 35 wrong - 81% accuracy rate; 29% right and within 7 pts. Week 5: 131 right, 28 wrong - 82% accuracy rate; 33% right and within 7 pts. Week 6: 160 right, 21 wrong - 88% accuracy rate; 36% right and within 7 pts. Week 7: 121 right, 27 wrong - 82% accuracy rate; 35% right and within 7 pts. Week 8: 160 right, 27 wrong - 86% accuracy rate; 33% right and within 7 pts. Week 9: 166 right, 22 wrong - 88% accuracy rate; 36% right and within 7 pts. Week 10: 154 right, 37 wrong - 81% accuracy rate; 32% right and within 7 pts. Week 11: 160 right, 32 wrong - 83% accuracy rate; 36% right and within 7 pts. Week 12: 154 right, 32 wrong - 83% accuracy rate; 36% right and within 7 pts. Playoffs: Week 1: 107 right, 24 wrong - 82% accuracy rate; 32% right and within 7 pts. Week 2: 53 right, 12 wrong - 82% accuracy rate; 43% right and within 7 pts. Week 3: 24 right, 8 wrong - 75% accuracy rate; 19% right and within 7 pts. Regionals: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% accuracy rate; 38% right and within 7 pts.

I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two teams and adding in two points for the home team. The predictions will become more accurate as the season progresses.

Last Week's Results

NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 6, 2013
REGIONAL FINALS
4AA Pick Score
East - Wake Forest (11-3) at Middle Creek (12-2) W by 1 W 24-23
West - Butler (11-3) at Mallard Creek (14-0) M by 14 M 56-14

4A Pick Score
East - J.H. Rose (12-2) at Scotland (14-0) S by 18 S 53-40
West - Charlotte Catholic (12-2) at Dudley (13-0) D by 4 D 20-15

3AA Pick Score
East - Hunt (11-3) at Southern Durham (12-2) S by 6 S 38-10
West - Northern Guilford (12-2) at Crest (13-1) N by 8 C 23-17(ot)

3A Pick Score
East - Eastern Wayne (11-2) at Havelock (14-0) H by 21 H 44-20
West - Forestview (10-4) at Concord (14-0) C by 6 C 35-14

2AA Pick Score
East - Washington (12-2) at T.W. Andrews (12-1) A by 6 A 42-15
West - Parkwood (8-6) at Monroe (12-2) M by 24 M 48-20

2A Pick Score
East - Southwest Onslow (11-3) at Northeastern (12-2) N by 11 S 19-9
West - Shelby (10-4) at Reidsville (12-2) S by 5 S 49-3

1AA Pick Score
East - Wallace-Rose Hill (12-2) at James Kenan (13-0) K by 5 K 28-14
West - Swain County (12-2) at West Montgomery (13-1) W by 1 W 44-38

1A Pick Score
East - Lejeune (13-1) at Plymouth (13-0) P by 21 P 50-13
West - Albemarle (11-3) at Murphy (11-3) M by 11 M 53-21
For the week: 14/16 87.5%
7 points or less: 6/16 37.5%



This Week's Picks

NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - DECEMBER 13-14, 2013
STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS Pick
4AA - at N.C. State Univ.
Wake Forest (12-3) vs. Mallard Creek (15-0) M by 21

4A - at N.C. State Univ.
Scotland (15-0) vs. Dudley (14-0) S by 1

3AA - at Wake Forest Univ.
Southern Durham (13-2) vs. Crest (14-1) C by 4

3A - at N.C. State Univ.
Havelock (15-0) vs. Concord (15-0) H by 8

2AA - at UNC-Chapel Hill
T.W. Andrews (13-1) vs. Monroe (13-2) Even - A

2A - at UNC-Chapel Hill
Southwest Onslow (12-3) vs. Shelby (11-4) Shel by 19

1AA - at Wake Forest Univ.
James Kenan (14-0) vs. West Montgomery (14-1) K by 11

1A - at Wake Forest Univ.
Plymouth (14-0) vs. Murphy (12-3) P by 5