2020 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions

Last updated: Monday, February 8, 2021 - final ratings Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 2 points for the home team (this season). Early in the season, preseason ratings are factored in. These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.


NFL Football Predictions

In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals. PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES: SEASON TO DATE: 182 right, 86 wrong - 68% right, 39% right and within 7 points (105/268) WEEK BY WEEK: Week 1: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 50% right and within 7 points (8/16) Week 2: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% right, 56% right and within 7 points (9/16) Week 3: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right, 33% right and within 7 points (5/15) (1 tie game - doesn't count) Week 4: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right, 53% right and within 7 points (8/15) Week 5: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14) Week 6: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 21% right and within 7 points (3/14) Week 7: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14) Week 8: 7 right, 7 wrong - 50% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14) Week 9: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right, 36% right and within 7 points (5/14) Week 10: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14) Week 11: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14) Week 12: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16) Week 13: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right, 33% right and within 7 points (5/15) Week 14: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Week 15: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16) Week 16: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Week 17: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right, 56% right and within 7 points (9/16) Wild Card: 4 right, 2 wrong - 67% right, 56% right and within 7 points (4/6) Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right, 25% right and within 7 points (1/4) Conference: 1 right, 1 wrong - 50% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/2) Super Bowl: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/1)



Playoff Summary


Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 9 PICK SCORE
Indianapolis (11-5) at Buffalo (13-3) (1:05) B by 6 B 27-24
LA Rams (10-6) at Seattle (12-4) (4:40) S by 3 L 30-20
Tampa Bay (11-5) at Washington (7-9) (8:15) T by 6 T 31-23

SUNDAY JANUARY 10 PICK SCORE
Baltimore (11-5) at Tennessee (11-5) (1:05) B by 2 B 20-13
Chicago (8-8) at New Orleans (12-4) (4:40) N by 9 N 21-9
Cleveland (11-5) at Pittsburgh (12-4) (8:15) P by 6 C 48-37
Correct winners: 4/6
Correct winner and within 7 points: 4/6


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 16 PICK SCORE
LA Rams (10-7) at Green Bay (13-3) (4:35) G by 4 G 32-18
Baltimore (12-5) at Buffalo (14-3) (8:15) Buf by 3 Buf 17-3

SUNDAY JANUARY 17 PICK SCORE
Cleveland (12-5) at Kansas City (14-2) (3:05) K by 7 K 22-17
Tampa Bay (12-5) at New Orleans (13-4) (6:40) N by 2 T 30-20
Correct winners: 3/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 24 PICK SCORE
NFC - Tampa Bay (13-5) at Green Bay (14-3) (3:05) G by 2 T 31-26
AFC - Buffalo (15-3) at Kansas City (15-2) (6:40) K by 1 K 38-24
Correct winners: 1/2
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/2


Super Bowl LV - at Tampa, FL
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 7 PICK SCORE
Kansas City (16-2) at Tampa Bay (14-5) (6:30) T by 2 T 31-9
Correct winners: 1/1
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/1


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T Rating
1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15 5 0 59.2
2 Kansas City Chiefs 16 3 0 57.4
3 Buffalo Bills 15 4 0 57.1
4 Green Bay Packers 14 4 0 56.6
5 New Orleans Saints 13 5 0 56.3
6 Baltimore Ravens 12 6 0 55.8
7 Los Angeles Rams 11 7 0 54.3
8 Seattle Seahawks 12 5 0 53.3
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 12 5 0 53.1
10 Indianapolis Colts 11 6 0 52.7
11 Miami Dolphins 10 6 0 52.5
12 Cleveland Browns 12 6 0 51.8
13 Tennessee Titans 11 6 0 51.4
14 Arizona Cardinals 8 8 0 50.4
15 Las Vegas Raiders 8 8 0 49.7
16 Chicago Bears 8 9 0 49.6
17 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 49.5
18 New England Patriots 7 9 0 49.4
19 Los Angeles Chargers 7 9 0 48.2
20 Washington Football 7 10 0 48.2
21 Atlanta Falcons 4 12 0 48.1
22 Carolina Panthers 5 11 0 47.9
23 Minnesota Vikings 7 9 0 47.6
24 New York Giants 6 10 0 46.6
25 Denver Broncos 5 11 0 46.3
26 Dallas Cowboys 6 10 0 45.7
27 Philadelphia Eagles 4 11 1 45.5
28 Houston Texans 4 12 0 45.0
29 Cincinnati Bengals 4 11 1 44.5
30 Detroit Lions 5 11 0 43.9
31 New York Jets 2 14 0 42.1
32 Jacksonville Jaguars 1 15 0 40.0


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.


NFL 2020
AFC EAST(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Buffalo Bills 15 4 0 57.1 569 440 10
11 Miami Dolphins 10 6 0 52.5 404 338 27
18 New England Patriots 7 9 0 49.4 326 353 11
31 New York Jets 2 14 0 42.1 243 457 1

AFC NORTH(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Baltimore Ravens 12 6 0 55.8 491 333 20
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 12 5 0 53.1 453 360 31
12 Cleveland Browns 12 6 0 51.8 473 478 23
29 Cincinnati Bengals 4 11 1 44.5 311 424 22

AFC SOUTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
10 Indianapolis Colts 11 6 0 52.7 475 389 32
13 Tennessee Titans 11 6 0 51.4 504 459 30
28 Houston Texans 4 12 0 45.0 384 464 21
32 Jacksonville Jaguars 1 15 0 40.0 306 492 17

AFC WEST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 Kansas City Chiefs 16 3 0 57.4 542 434 8
15 Las Vegas Raiders 8 8 0 49.7 434 478 7
19 Los Angeles Chargers 7 9 0 48.2 384 426 16
25 Denver Broncos 5 11 0 46.3 323 446 3


NFC EAST(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
20 Washington Football 7 10 0 48.2 358 360 28
24 New York Giants 6 10 0 46.6 280 357 18
26 Dallas Cowboys 6 10 0 45.7 395 473 29
27 Philadelphia Eagles 4 11 1 45.5 334 418 15

NFC NORTH(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 Green Bay Packers 14 4 0 56.6 567 418 24
16 Chicago Bears 8 9 0 49.6 381 391 13
23 Minnesota Vikings 7 9 0 47.6 430 475 19
30 Detroit Lions 5 11 0 43.9 377 519 14

NFC SOUTH(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15 5 0 59.2 615 433 2
5 New Orleans Saints 13 5 0 56.3 523 376 12
21 Atlanta Falcons 4 12 0 48.1 396 414 4
22 Carolina Panthers 5 11 0 47.9 350 402 5

NFC WEST(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Los Angeles Rams 11 7 0 54.3 420 348 9
8 Seattle Seahawks 12 5 0 53.3 479 401 25
14 Arizona Cardinals 8 8 0 50.4 410 367 26
17 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 49.5 376 390 6