2024 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions

Last updated: Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - final ratings Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team. These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.


NFL Football Predictions

In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals. PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS: SEASON TO DATE: 196 right, 89 wrong - 69% right; 40% right and within 8 points (113/285) WEEK BY WEEK: Week 1: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 63% right and within 8 points (10/16) Week 2: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Week 3: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 25% right and within 8 points (4/16) Week 4: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 50% right and within 8 points (8/16) Week 5: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 43% right and within 8 points (6/14) Week 6: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 21% right and within 8 points (3/14) Week 7: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right; 27% right and within 8 points (4/15) Week 8: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 50% right and within 8 points (8/16) Week 9: 12 right, 3 wrong - 80% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15) Week 10: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14) Week 11: 12 right, 2 wrong - 86% right; 50% right and within 8 points (7/14) Week 12: 8 right, 5 wrong - 62% right; 15% right and within 8 points (2/13) Week 13: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% right; 56% right and within 8 points (9/16) Week 14: 9 right, 4 wrong - 69% right; 46% right and within 8 points (6/13) Week 15: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Week 16: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16) Week 17: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Week 18: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 31% right and within 8 points (5/16) Playoffs: Wild Card: 3 right, 3 wrong - 50% right; 33% right and within 8 points (2/6) Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right; 75% right and within 8 points (3/4) Conference: 2 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 50% right and within 8 points (1/2) Super Bowl: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 0% right and within 8 points (0/1)



This Week's Games

NONE

Last Week's Games


Super Bowl LIX - at New Orleans, LA
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 9 PICK SCORE
Kansas City (17-2) vs. Philadelphia (17-3) (6:30) P by 1 P 40-22

Correct winners: 1/1
Correct winner and within 8 points: 0/1


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T RATING LW
1 Philadelphia Eagles 18 3 0 59.9
2 Detroit Lions 15 3 0 57.1
3 Baltimore Ravens 13 6 0 57.0
4 Buffalo Bills 15 5 0 56.9
5 Kansas City Chiefs 17 3 0 56.2
6 Washington Commanders 14 6 0 54.7
7 Green Bay Packers 11 7 0 54.2
8 Minnesota Vikings 14 4 0 54.0
9 Los Angeles Rams 11 8 0 53.0
10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 8 0 52.5
11 Denver Broncos 10 8 0 52.4
12 Los Angeles Chargers 11 7 0 52.2
13 Houston Texans 11 8 0 51.9
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 10 8 0 51.7
15 Seattle Seahawks 10 7 0 51.4
16 Cincinnati Bengals 9 8 0 51.1
17 Arizona Cardinals 8 9 0 50.6
18 Atlanta Falcons 8 9 0 48.8
19 San Francisco 49ers 6 11 0 48.4
20 Miami Dolphins 8 9 0 48.1
21 Dallas Cowboys 7 10 0 47.4
22 Indianapolis Colts 8 9 0 47.3
23 Chicago Bears 5 12 0 47.1
24 New York Jets 5 12 0 46.1
25 New Orleans Saints 5 12 0 45.7
26 Las Vegas Raiders 4 13 0 44.4
27 Jacksonville Jaguars 4 13 0 44.2
28 New England Patriots 4 13 0 43.5
29 New York Giants 3 14 0 43.4
30 Carolina Panthers 5 12 0 43.1
31 Cleveland Browns 3 14 0 43.0
32 Tennessee Titans 3 14 0 42.8


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.


NFL 2024
AFC EAST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 Buffalo Bills 15 5 0 56.9 612 432 14
20 Miami Dolphins 8 9 0 48.1 345 364 32
24 New York Jets 5 12 0 46.1 289 417 28
28 New England Patriots 4 13 0 43.5 338 404 29

AFC NORTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Baltimore Ravens 13 6 0 57.0 571 402 3
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 10 8 0 51.7 258 435 5
16 Cincinnati Bengals 9 8 0 51.1 394 375 27
31 Cleveland Browns 3 14 0 43.0 472 434 6

AFC SOUTH(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
13 Houston Texans 11 8 0 51.9 418 407 18
22 Indianapolis Colts 8 9 0 47.3 377 427 31
27 Jacksonville Jaguars 4 13 0 44.2 320 435 30
32 Tennessee Titans 3 14 0 42.8 311 460 17

AFC WEST(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
5 Kansas City Chiefs 17 3 0 56.2 432 342 8
11 Denver Broncos 10 8 0 52.4 462 409 9
12 Los Angeles Chargers 11 7 0 52.2 309 434 24
26 Las Vegas Raiders 4 13 0 44.4 414 333 12


NFC EAST(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Philadelphia Eagles 18 3 0 59.9 350 468 20
6 Washington Commanders 14 6 0 54.7 273 415 2
21 Dallas Cowboys 7 10 0 47.4 608 380 11
29 New York Giants 3 14 0 43.4 576 497 10

NFC NORTH(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 Detroit Lions 15 3 0 57.1 470 360 16
7 Green Bay Packers 11 7 0 54.2 441 359 4
8 Minnesota Vikings 14 4 0 54.0 310 370 22
23 Chicago Bears 5 12 0 47.1 595 387 13

NFC SOUTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 8 0 52.5 341 534 23
18 Atlanta Falcons 8 9 0 48.8 522 408 25
25 New Orleans Saints 5 12 0 45.7 338 398 26
30 Carolina Panthers 5 12 0 43.1 389 423 19

NFC WEST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
9 Los Angeles Rams 11 8 0 53.0 375 368 1
15 Seattle Seahawks 10 7 0 51.4 389 436 21
17 Arizona Cardinals 8 9 0 50.6 416 423 15
19 San Francisco 49ers 6 11 0 48.4 400 379 7