## Last updated: Tuesday, January 22, 2019 - thru games of January 20 Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team. Pre-season ratings are utliized early in the season. These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.

## LW = Last week's ranking

Team | W | L | T | RATING | LW | |

1 | Los Angeles Rams | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.5 | 2 |

2 | New Orleans Saints | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.9 | 1 |

3 | Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.1 | 3 |

4 | New England Patriots | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.0 | 4 |

5 | Los Angeles Chargers | 13 | 5 | 0 | 55.2 | 5 |

6 | Chicago Bears | 12 | 5 | 0 | 54.4 | 6 |

7 | Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 7 | 0 | 53.5 | 7 |

8 | Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 7 | 0 | 53.4 | 8 |

9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 6 | 1 | 53.3 | 9 |

10 | Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 8 | 0 | 53.1 | 10 |

11 | Houston Texans | 11 | 6 | 0 | 52.7 | 11 |

12 | Seattle Seahawks | 10 | 7 | 0 | 52.6 | 12 |

13 | Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 7 | 0 | 52.2 | 13 |

14 | Tennessee Titans | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.4 | 14 |

15 | Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 7 | 1 | 51.0 | 15 |

16 | Cleveland Browns | 7 | 8 | 1 | 49.4 | 16 |

17 | Carolina Panthers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 49.3 | 17 |

18 | Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.9 | 18 |

19 | Denver Broncos | 6 | 10 | 0 | 48.1 | 19 |

20 | Detroit Lions | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.5 | 20 |

21 | Green Bay Packers | 6 | 9 | 1 | 47.4 | 21 |

22 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.2 | 23 |

23 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.1 | 22 |

24 | Washington Redskins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 47.1 | 24 |

25 | New York Giants | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.9 | 25 |

26 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.4 | 26 |

27 | Buffalo Bills | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.3 | 27 |

28 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 45.2 | 28 |

29 | San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.5 | 29 |

30 | New York Jets | 4 | 12 | 0 | 43.8 | 30 |

31 | Oakland Raiders | 4 | 12 | 0 | 43.5 | 31 |

32 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 13 | 0 | 41.8 | 32 |

## PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.

NFL 2018 | ||||||||

AFC EAST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

4 | New England Patriots | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.0 | 514 | 384 | 20 |

27 | Buffalo Bills | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.3 | 269 | 374 | 17 |

28 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 45.2 | 319 | 433 | 31 |

30 | New York Jets | 4 | 12 | 0 | 43.8 | 333 | 441 | 24 |

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AFC NORTH(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

7 | Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 7 | 0 | 53.5 | 406 | 310 | 12 |

9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 6 | 1 | 53.3 | 428 | 360 | 11 |

16 | Cleveland Browns | 7 | 8 | 1 | 49.4 | 359 | 392 | 9 |

23 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.1 | 368 | 455 | 5 |

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AFC SOUTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

8 | Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 7 | 0 | 53.4 | 467 | 382 | 16 |

11 | Houston Texans | 11 | 6 | 0 | 52.7 | 409 | 337 | 29 |

14 | Tennessee Titans | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.4 | 310 | 303 | 19 |

22 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.2 | 245 | 316 | 3 |

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AFC WEST(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

3 | Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.1 | 627 | 471 | 21 |

5 | Los Angeles Chargers | 13 | 5 | 0 | 55.2 | 479 | 387 | 6 |

19 | Denver Broncos | 6 | 10 | 0 | 48.1 | 329 | 349 | 15 |

31 | Oakland Raiders | 4 | 12 | 0 | 43.5 | 290 | 467 | 2 |

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NFC EAST(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

10 | Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 8 | 0 | 53.1 | 397 | 383 | 1 |

13 | Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 7 | 0 | 52.2 | 385 | 376 | 4 |

24 | Washington Redskins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 47.1 | 281 | 359 | 23 |

25 | New York Giants | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.9 | 369 | 412 | 8 |

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NFC NORTH(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

6 | Chicago Bears | 12 | 5 | 0 | 54.4 | 436 | 299 | 32 |

15 | Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 7 | 1 | 51.0 | 360 | 341 | 26 |

20 | Detroit Lions | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.5 | 324 | 360 | 27 |

21 | Green Bay Packers | 6 | 9 | 1 | 47.4 | 376 | 400 | 30 |

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NFC SOUTH(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

2 | New Orleans Saints | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.9 | 547 | 393 | 14 |

17 | Carolina Panthers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 49.3 | 376 | 382 | 13 |

18 | Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.9 | 414 | 423 | 25 |

26 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.4 | 396 | 464 | 7 |

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NFC WEST(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

1 | Los Angeles Rams | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.5 | 583 | 429 | 18 |

12 | Seattle Seahawks | 10 | 7 | 0 | 52.6 | 450 | 371 | 28 |

29 | San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.5 | 342 | 435 | 22 |

32 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 13 | 0 | 41.8 | 225 | 425 | 10 |

## In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals. PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES: LAST WEEK: 0 right, 2 wrong - 0% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/2) SEASON TO DATE: 163 right, 101 wrong - 62% right, 37% right and within 7 points (98/264) WEEK BY WEEK: Week 1: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right, 40% right and within 7 points (6/15) (1 tie - not counted) Week 2: 8 right, 7 wrong - 53% right, 47% right and within 7 points (7/15) (1 tie - not counted) Week 3: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16) Week 4: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right, 40% right and within 7 points (6/15) Week 5: 9 right, 6 wrong - 60% right, 27% right and within 7 points (4/15) Week 6: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right, 40% right and within 7 points (6/15) Week 7: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14) Week 8: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14) Week 9: 8 right, 5 wrong - 62% right, 31% right and within 7 points (4/13) Week 10: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14) Week 11: 6 right, 7 wrong - 46% right, 38% right and within 7 points (5/13) Week 12: 12 right, 3 wrong - 80% right, 60% right and within 7 points (9/15) Week 13: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 31% right and within 7 points (5/16) Week 14: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Week 15: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 38% right and within 7 points (6/16) Week 16: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right, 50% right and within 7 points (8/16) Week 17: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Playoffs: Wild Card: 1 right, 3 wrong - 25% right, 25% right and within 7 points (1/4) Divisional: 4 right, 0 wrong - 100% right, 50% right and within 7 points (2/4) Conf. Finals: 0 right, 2 wrong - 0% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/2)

Playoffs - Conference Championships | |||

SUNDAY JANUARY 20 | PICK | LINE | SCORE |

NFC - LA Rams (14-3) at New Orleans (14-3) (3:05) | N by 4 | N by 3 | L 26-23(ot) |

AFC - New England (12-5) at Kansas City (13-4) (6:40) | K by 5 | K by 3 | N 37-31(ot) |

Correct winners: | 0/2 | 0/2 | |

Correct winner and within 7 points: | 0/2 | 0/2 |

Super Bowl LIII - at Atlanta, GA | |

SUNDAY FEBRUARY 3 | PICK |

New England (13-5) vs. LA Rams (15-3) (6:30) | L by 1 |