Last updated: Tuesday, January 23, 2018 - thru games of January 21 Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team. These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.

LW = Last week's ranking

Team | W | L | T | Rating | LW | |

1 | Philadelphia Eagles | 15 | 3 | 0 | 58.2 | 3 |

2 | New England Patriots | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.9 | 1 |

3 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.7 | 2 |

4 | New Orleans Saints | 12 | 6 | 0 | 56.0 | 4 |

5 | Atlanta Falcons | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.9 | 5 |

6 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.8 | 7 |

7 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 13 | 4 | 0 | 54.8 | 6 |

8 | Carolina Panthers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.2 | 8 |

9 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 12 | 7 | 0 | 54.0 | 9 |

10 | Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 7 | 0 | 52.4 | 10 |

11 | Los Angeles Chargers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 52.3 | 11 |

12 | Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.7 | 13 |

13 | Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.6 | 15 |

14 | Detroit Lions | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5 | 12 |

15 | Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5 | 14 |

16 | Tennessee Titans | 10 | 8 | 0 | 49.4 | 16 |

17 | Buffalo Bills | 9 | 8 | 0 | 49.2 | 17 |

18 | Washington Redskins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.9 | 18 |

19 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | 48.1 | 20 |

20 | Green Bay Packers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.1 | 19 |

21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.9 | 21 |

22 | Chicago Bears | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.6 | 22 |

23 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.4 | 23 |

24 | Oakland Raiders | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.9 | 25 |

25 | Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 9 | 0 | 46.8 | 24 |

26 | Miami Dolphins | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.6 | 26 |

27 | New York Jets | 5 | 11 | 0 | 45.9 | 27 |

28 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | 45.0 | 28 |

29 | Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.0 | 29 |

30 | New York Giants | 3 | 13 | 0 | 43.4 | 30 |

31 | Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 12 | 0 | 42.9 | 31 |

32 | Cleveland Browns | 0 | 16 | 0 | 39.4 | 32 |

PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.

NFL 2017 | ||||||||

AFC EAST(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

2 | New England Patriots | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.9 | 517 | 330 | 24 |

17 | Buffalo Bills | 9 | 8 | 0 | 49.2 | 305 | 369 | 12 |

26 | Miami Dolphins | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.6 | 281 | 393 | 7 |

27 | New York Jets | 5 | 11 | 0 | 45.9 | 298 | 382 | 11 |

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AFC NORTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

7 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 13 | 4 | 0 | 54.8 | 448 | 353 | 30 |

15 | Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5 | 395 | 303 | 32 |

25 | Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 9 | 0 | 46.8 | 290 | 349 | 31 |

32 | Cleveland Browns | 0 | 16 | 0 | 39.4 | 234 | 410 | 18 |

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AFC SOUTH(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

9 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 12 | 7 | 0 | 54.0 | 492 | 337 | 27 |

16 | Tennessee Titans | 10 | 8 | 0 | 49.4 | 370 | 412 | 25 |

29 | Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.0 | 338 | 436 | 19 |

31 | Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 12 | 0 | 42.9 | 263 | 404 | 29 |

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AFC WEST(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

10 | Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 7 | 0 | 52.4 | 436 | 361 | 26 |

11 | Los Angeles Chargers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 52.3 | 355 | 272 | 28 |

24 | Oakland Raiders | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.9 | 301 | 373 | 13 |

28 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | 45.0 | 289 | 382 | 22 |

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NFC EAST(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

1 | Philadelphia Eagles | 15 | 3 | 0 | 58.2 | 510 | 312 | 23 |

13 | Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.6 | 354 | 332 | 16 |

18 | Washington Redskins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.9 | 342 | 388 | 8 |

30 | New York Giants | 3 | 13 | 0 | 43.4 | 246 | 388 | 9 |

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NFC NORTH(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

3 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.7 | 418 | 314 | 10 |

14 | Detroit Lions | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5 | 410 | 376 | 17 |

20 | Green Bay Packers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.1 | 320 | 384 | 6 |

22 | Chicago Bears | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.6 | 264 | 320 | 5 |

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NFC SOUTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

4 | New Orleans Saints | 12 | 6 | 0 | 56.0 | 503 | 381 | 3 |

5 | Atlanta Falcons | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.9 | 389 | 343 | 1 |

8 | Carolina Panthers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.2 | 389 | 358 | 2 |

21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.9 | 335 | 382 | 4 |

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NFC WEST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS | |

6 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.8 | 491 | 355 | 14 |

12 | Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.7 | 366 | 332 | 21 |

19 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | 48.1 | 295 | 361 | 20 |

23 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.4 | 331 | 383 | 15 |

In this section I compare my results at picking games this season, rounded to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here). PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES: LAST WEEK: Conf. Finals: 2 right, 0 wrong -100% right, 50% right and within 7 points (1/2) SEASON TO DATE: Brian Simmons: 171 right, 95 wrong - 64% right, 36% right and within 7 points (96/266) WEEK BY WEEK: Week 1: 9 right, 6 wrong - 60% right, 33% right and within 7 points (5/15) Week 2: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Week 3: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right, 31% right and within 7 points (5/16) Week 4: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16) Week 5: 7 right, 7 wrong - 50% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14) Week 6: 5 right, 9 wrong - 36% right, 21% right and within 7 points (3/14) Week 7: 12 right, 3 wrong - 80% right, 40% right and within 7 points (6/15) Week 8: 11 right, 2 wrong - 85% right, 62% right and within 7 points (8/13) Week 9: 6 right, 7 wrong - 46% right, 23% right and within 7 points (3/13) Week 10: 11 right, 3 wrong - 79% right, 36% right and within 7 points (5/14) Week 11: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right, 21% right and within 7 points (3/14) Week 12: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right, 63% right and within 7 points (10/16) Week 13: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right, 50% right and within 7 points (8/16) Week 14: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right, 31% right and within 7 points (5/16) Week 15: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16) Week 16: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right, 38% right and within 7 points (6/16) Week 17: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right, 19% right and within 7 points (3/16) Playoffs: Wild Card: 2 right, 2 wrong - 50% right, 50% right and within 7 points (2/4) Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right, 50% right and within 7 points (2/4) Conf. Finals: 2 right, 0 wrong -100% right, 50% right and within 7 points (1/2)

Playoffs - Conference Championships | ||

SUNDAY JANUARY 21 | PICK | SCORE |

AFC - Jacksonville (12-6) at New England (14-3) (3:05) | N by 7 | N 24-20 |

NFC - Minnesota (14-3) at Philadelphia (14-3) (6:40) | P by 3 | P 38-7 |

Correct winners: | 2/2 | |

Correct winner and within 7 points: | 1/2 |

Super Bowl LII - at Minneapolis, MN | |

SUNDAY FEBRUARY 4 | PICK |

New England (15-3) vs. Philadelphia (15-3) (6:30) | Even - P |