2026 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 - thru games of October 12
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team.
These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.
NFL Football Predictions
In this section I display my results at picking games this season, and present this
week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picking results totals.
PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS:
SEASON TO DATE: 52 right, 26 wrong - 67% right; 38% right and within 8 points(30/78)
WEEK BY WEEK:
Week 1: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 31% right and within 8 points(5/16)
Week 2: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 19% right and within 8 points(3/16)
Week 3: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 50% right and within 8 points(8/16)
Week 4: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 56% right and within 8 points(9/16)
Week 5: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 36% right and within 8 points(5/14) (1 tie - doesn't count)
This Week's Games
| WEEK 6 | |
|
| THURSDAY OCTOBER 15 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Seattle (3-2) at Denver (3-2) (8:15) | D by 2 |
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY OCTOBER 18 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Houston (1-4) vs. Jacksonville (4-1) (9:30) (at London) | J by 8 |
|
| Baltimore (4-1) at Cleveland (3-2) (1:00) | B by 1 |
|
| Carolina (2-2) at Philadelphia (2-3) | P by 2.5 |
|
| Chicago (3-2) at Atlanta (2-3) | A by 0.5 |
|
| New Orleans (1-4) at NY Giants (3-1-1) | NY by 5.5 |
|
| NY Jets (2-3) at New England (3-2) | NE by 11.5 |
|
| Pittsburgh (3-2) at Tampa Bay (1-4) | Even - P |
|
| Tennessee (0-5) at Indianapolis (2-3) | I by 11 |
|
| Arizona (1-4) at LA Rams (2-3) (4:05) | L by 14.5 |
|
| Buffalo (4-1) at Las Vegas (3-2) (4:25) | B by 2.5 |
|
| LA Chargers (0-5) at Kansas City (4-0) | K by 13 |
|
| Dallas (2-3) at Green Bay (3-2) (8:20) | G by 6.5 |
|
| | |
|
| MONDAY OCTOBER 19 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Washington (1-3-1) at San Francisco (5-0) (8:15) | S by 15.5 |
|
| | |
|
| Open: Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami, Minnesota | |
|
Last Week's Games
| WEEK 5 | |
|
| THURSDAY OCTOBER 8 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Tampa Bay (0-4) at Dallas (2-2) (8:15) | D by 7.5 | T 24-16
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY OCTOBER 11 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Philadelphia (2-2) vs. Jacksonville (3-1) (9:30) (at London) | J by 6.5 | J 19-17
|
| Chicago (3-1) at Green Bay (2-2) (1:00) | C by 3.5 | G 31-7
|
| Cincinnati (2-2) at Miami (0-4) | C by 3.5 | C 31-24
|
| Cleveland (3-1) at NY Jets (1-3) | N by 1 | N 17-12
|
| Houston (0-4) at Tennessee (0-4) | H by 1.5 | H 26-3
|
| Indianapolis (2-2) at Pittsburgh (2-2) | P by 2.5 | P 34-22
|
| Las Vegas (3-1) at New England (2-2) | N by 6 | N 45-17
|
| Minnesota (4-0) at New Orleans (1-3) | M by 5.5 | M 23-13
|
| NY Giants (3-1) at Washington (1-3) | Even - N | Tie 27-27
|
| Denver (2-2) at LA Chargers (0-4) (4:05) | D by 3.5 | D 23-17
|
| Detroit (2-2) at Arizona (1-3) (4:25) | D by 2 | D 45-21
|
| San Francisco (4-0) at Seattle (3-1) | Sea by 1.5 | SF 32-29
|
| Baltimore (3-1) at Atlanta (2-2) (8:20) | A by 0.5 | B 30-23(ot)
|
| | |
|
| MONDAY OCTOBER 12 | PICK | FINAL SCORE
|
| Buffalo (3-1) at LA Rams (2-2) (8:15) | L by 4.5 | B 37-34(ot)
|
| | |
|
| Open: Carolina, Kansas City | |
|
| | |
|
| Correct winners: | 9/14 |
|
| Correct winner and within 8 points: | 5/14 |
|
NFL Team Rankings
| | Team | W | L | T | Rating | LW
|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57.30 | 1
|
| 2 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 1 | 0 | 56.42 | 2
|
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 55.51 | 6
|
| 4 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 55.43 | 3
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 3 | 2 | 0 | 55.37 | 9
|
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | 4 | 1 | 0 | 54.79 | 8
|
| 7 | Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 2 | 0 | 54.24 | 4
|
| 8 | Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 3 | 0 | 53.74 | 5
|
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 53.05 | 10
|
| 10 | Chicago Bears | 3 | 2 | 0 | 52.14 | 7
|
| 11 | Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 52.03 | 11
|
| 12 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 51.93 | 13
|
| 13 | Detroit Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 51.65 | 17
|
| 14 | Green Bay Packers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 50.88 | 23
|
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 50.86 | 20
|
| 16 | Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 49.71 | 15
|
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 3 | 0 | 49.63 | 16
|
| 18 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 3 | 0 | 49.37 | 14
|
| 19 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 49.17 | 12
|
| 20 | Houston Texans | 1 | 4 | 0 | 48.51 | 24
|
| 21 | Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 3 | 0 | 48.43 | 19
|
| 22 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 2 | 0 | 48.11 | 22
|
| 23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 4 | 0 | 47.78 | 29
|
| 24 | New York Giants | 3 | 1 | 1 | 47.61 | 21
|
| 25 | Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 3 | 0 | 47.59 | 18
|
| 26 | New York Jets | 2 | 3 | 0 | 46.84 | 27
|
| 27 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 5 | 0 | 45.38 | 25
|
| 28 | New Orleans Saints | 1 | 4 | 0 | 45.31 | 26
|
| 29 | Washington Commanders | 1 | 3 | 1 | 44.70 | 28
|
| 30 | Miami Dolphins | 0 | 5 | 0 | 43.60 | 31
|
| 31 | Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 4 | 0 | 42.46 | 30
|
| 32 | Tennessee Titans | 0 | 5 | 0 | 40.44 | 32
|
NFL Teams By Division
PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.
| | NFL 2026 | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC EAST(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 3 | 2 | 0 | 55.37 | 110 | 94 | 3
|
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | 4 | 1 | 0 | 54.79 | 164 | 141 | 12
|
| 26 | New York Jets | 2 | 3 | 0 | 46.84 | 93 | 96 | 22
|
| 30 | Miami Dolphins | 0 | 5 | 0 | 43.60 | 70 | 132 | 1
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC NORTH(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 11 | Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 52.03 | 146 | 119 | 31
|
| 12 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 51.93 | 128 | 109 | 17
|
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 50.86 | 111 | 109 | 16
|
| 22 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 2 | 0 | 48.11 | 93 | 112 | 9
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC SOUTH(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 2 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 1 | 0 | 56.42 | 123 | 70 | 6
|
| 20 | Houston Texans | 1 | 4 | 0 | 48.51 | 110 | 112 | 30
|
| 21 | Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 3 | 0 | 48.43 | 124 | 138 | 13
|
| 32 | Tennessee Titans | 0 | 5 | 0 | 40.44 | 58 | 109 | 27
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC WEST(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 4 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 55.43 | 118 | 77 | 23
|
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 53.05 | 97 | 111 | 2
|
| 19 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 49.17 | 132 | 129 | 19
|
| 27 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 5 | 0 | 45.38 | 84 | 129 | 15
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC EAST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 18 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 3 | 0 | 49.37 | 92 | 112 | 20
|
| 24 | New York Giants | 3 | 1 | 1 | 47.61 | 109 | 106 | 32
|
| 25 | Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 3 | 0 | 47.59 | 138 | 136 | 29
|
| 29 | Washington Commanders | 1 | 3 | 1 | 44.70 | 115 | 149 | 21
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC NORTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 55.51 | 109 | 64 | 24
|
| 10 | Chicago Bears | 3 | 2 | 0 | 52.14 | 119 | 96 | 18
|
| 13 | Detroit Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 51.65 | 164 | 148 | 26
|
| 14 | Green Bay Packers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 50.88 | 104 | 112 | 8
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC SOUTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 16 | Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 49.71 | 121 | 109 | 10
|
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 3 | 0 | 49.63 | 119 | 122 | 11
|
| 23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 4 | 0 | 47.78 | 100 | 112 | 14
|
| 28 | New Orleans Saints | 1 | 4 | 0 | 45.31 | 118 | 151 | 7
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC WEST(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57.30 | 154 | 93 | 28
|
| 7 | Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 2 | 0 | 54.24 | 134 | 105 | 25
|
| 8 | Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 3 | 0 | 53.74 | 119 | 120 | 4
|
| 31 | Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 4 | 0 | 42.46 | 108 | 162 | 5
|