2024 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - final ratings
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team.
These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.
NFL Football Predictions
In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded
to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this
week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals.
PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS:
SEASON TO DATE: 196 right, 89 wrong - 69% right; 40% right and within 8 points (113/285)
WEEK BY WEEK:
Week 1: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 63% right and within 8 points (10/16)
Week 2: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 3: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 25% right and within 8 points (4/16)
Week 4: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 50% right and within 8 points (8/16)
Week 5: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 43% right and within 8 points (6/14)
Week 6: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 21% right and within 8 points (3/14)
Week 7: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right; 27% right and within 8 points (4/15)
Week 8: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 50% right and within 8 points (8/16)
Week 9: 12 right, 3 wrong - 80% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15)
Week 10: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14)
Week 11: 12 right, 2 wrong - 86% right; 50% right and within 8 points (7/14)
Week 12: 8 right, 5 wrong - 62% right; 15% right and within 8 points (2/13)
Week 13: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% right; 56% right and within 8 points (9/16)
Week 14: 9 right, 4 wrong - 69% right; 46% right and within 8 points (6/13)
Week 15: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 16: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16)
Week 17: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 18: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 31% right and within 8 points (5/16)
Playoffs:
Wild Card: 3 right, 3 wrong - 50% right; 33% right and within 8 points (2/6)
Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right; 75% right and within 8 points (3/4)
Conference: 2 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 50% right and within 8 points (1/2)
Super Bowl: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 0% right and within 8 points (0/1)
This Week's Games
NONE
Last Week's Games
Super Bowl LIX - at New Orleans, LA |
| SUNDAY FEBRUARY 9 | PICK | SCORE
|
Kansas City (17-2) vs. Philadelphia (17-3) (6:30) | P by 1 | P 40-22
|
| |
|
Correct winners: | 1/1 |
|
Correct winner and within 8 points: | 0/1 |
|
NFL Team Rankings
| Team | W | L | T | RATING | LW
|
1 | Philadelphia Eagles | 18 | 3 | 0 | 59.9
|
2 | Detroit Lions | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.1
|
3 | Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 6 | 0 | 57.0
|
4 | Buffalo Bills | 15 | 5 | 0 | 56.9
|
5 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 3 | 0 | 56.2
|
6 | Washington Commanders | 14 | 6 | 0 | 54.7
|
7 | Green Bay Packers | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.2
|
8 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 4 | 0 | 54.0
|
9 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 8 | 0 | 53.0
|
10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 52.5
|
11 | Denver Broncos | 10 | 8 | 0 | 52.4
|
12 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 7 | 0 | 52.2
|
13 | Houston Texans | 11 | 8 | 0 | 51.9
|
14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 51.7
|
15 | Seattle Seahawks | 10 | 7 | 0 | 51.4
|
16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 8 | 0 | 51.1
|
17 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 9 | 0 | 50.6
|
18 | Atlanta Falcons | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.8
|
19 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 11 | 0 | 48.4
|
20 | Miami Dolphins | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.1
|
21 | Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 10 | 0 | 47.4
|
22 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9 | 0 | 47.3
|
23 | Chicago Bears | 5 | 12 | 0 | 47.1
|
24 | New York Jets | 5 | 12 | 0 | 46.1
|
25 | New Orleans Saints | 5 | 12 | 0 | 45.7
|
26 | Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 13 | 0 | 44.4
|
27 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 13 | 0 | 44.2
|
28 | New England Patriots | 4 | 13 | 0 | 43.5
|
29 | New York Giants | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.4
|
30 | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 12 | 0 | 43.1
|
31 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.0
|
32 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 14 | 0 | 42.8
|
NFL Teams By Division
PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.
| NFL 2024 | | | | | | |
|
| AFC EAST(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
4 | Buffalo Bills | 15 | 5 | 0 | 56.9 | 612 | 432 | 14
|
20 | Miami Dolphins | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.1 | 345 | 364 | 32
|
24 | New York Jets | 5 | 12 | 0 | 46.1 | 289 | 417 | 28
|
28 | New England Patriots | 4 | 13 | 0 | 43.5 | 338 | 404 | 29
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| AFC NORTH(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
3 | Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 6 | 0 | 57.0 | 571 | 402 | 3
|
14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 51.7 | 258 | 435 | 5
|
16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 8 | 0 | 51.1 | 394 | 375 | 27
|
31 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.0 | 472 | 434 | 6
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| AFC SOUTH(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
13 | Houston Texans | 11 | 8 | 0 | 51.9 | 418 | 407 | 18
|
22 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9 | 0 | 47.3 | 377 | 427 | 31
|
27 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 13 | 0 | 44.2 | 320 | 435 | 30
|
32 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 14 | 0 | 42.8 | 311 | 460 | 17
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| AFC WEST(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
5 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 3 | 0 | 56.2 | 432 | 342 | 8
|
11 | Denver Broncos | 10 | 8 | 0 | 52.4 | 462 | 409 | 9
|
12 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 7 | 0 | 52.2 | 309 | 434 | 24
|
26 | Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 13 | 0 | 44.4 | 414 | 333 | 12
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| NFC EAST(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
1 | Philadelphia Eagles | 18 | 3 | 0 | 59.9 | 350 | 468 | 20
|
6 | Washington Commanders | 14 | 6 | 0 | 54.7 | 273 | 415 | 2
|
21 | Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 10 | 0 | 47.4 | 608 | 380 | 11
|
29 | New York Giants | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.4 | 576 | 497 | 10
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| NFC NORTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
2 | Detroit Lions | 15 | 3 | 0 | 57.1 | 470 | 360 | 16
|
7 | Green Bay Packers | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.2 | 441 | 359 | 4
|
8 | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 4 | 0 | 54.0 | 310 | 370 | 22
|
23 | Chicago Bears | 5 | 12 | 0 | 47.1 | 595 | 387 | 13
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| NFC SOUTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 52.5 | 341 | 534 | 23
|
18 | Atlanta Falcons | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.8 | 522 | 408 | 25
|
25 | New Orleans Saints | 5 | 12 | 0 | 45.7 | 338 | 398 | 26
|
30 | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 12 | 0 | 43.1 | 389 | 423 | 19
|
| | | | | | | |
|
| NFC WEST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
9 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 8 | 0 | 53.0 | 375 | 368 | 1
|
15 | Seattle Seahawks | 10 | 7 | 0 | 51.4 | 389 | 436 | 21
|
17 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 9 | 0 | 50.6 | 416 | 423 | 15
|
19 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 11 | 0 | 48.4 | 400 | 379 | 7
|