2025 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Wednesday, January 7, 2025 - thru games of January 6
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team.
These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.
NFL Football Predictions
In this section I display my results at picking games this season, and present this
week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picking results totals.
PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS:
SEASON TO DATE: 175 right, 96 wrong - 65% right; 37% right and within 8 points(100/271)
WEEK BY WEEK:
Week 1: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 63% right and within 8 points (10/16)
Week 2: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 3: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16)
Week 4: 9 right, 6 wrong - 60% right; 27% right and within 8 points (4/15) - 1 tie (doesn't count)
Week 5: 6 right, 8 wrong - 43% right; 21% right and within 8 points (3/14)
Week 6: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 47% right and within 8 points (7/15)
Week 7: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15)
Week 8: 9 right, 4 wrong - 69% right; 8% right and within 8 points (1/13)
Week 9: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 50% right and within 8 points (7/14)
Week 10: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 29% right and within 8 points (4/14)
Week 11: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 47% right and within 8 points (7/15)
Week 12: 11 right, 3 wrong - 79% right; 57% right and within 8 points (8/14)
Week 13: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 31% right and within 8 points (5/16)
Week 14: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14)
Week 15: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 16: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16)
Week 17: 7 right, 9 wrong - 44% right; 19% right and within 8 points (3/16)
Week 18: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 31% right and within 8 points (5/16)
This Week's Games
| Playoffs - Wild Card Round | |
|
| SATURDAY JANUARY 10 | PICK | SCORE
|
| NFC: #5 LA Rams (12-5) at #4 Carolina (8-9) (4:30) | L by 6 |
|
| NFC: #7 Green Bay (9-7-1) at #2 Chicago (11-6) (8:00) | C by 3 |
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY JANUARY 11 | PICK | SCORE
|
| AFC: #6 Buffalo (12-5) at #3 Jacksonville (13-4) (1:00) | J by 5 |
|
| NFC: #6 San Francisco (12-5) at #3 Philadelphia (11-6) (4:30) | P by 1 |
|
| AFC: #7 LA Chargers (11-6) at #2 New England (14-3) (8:00) | N by 6 |
|
| | |
|
| MONDAY JANUARY 12 | PICK | SCORE
|
| AFC: #5 Houston (12-5) vs. #4 Pittsburgh (10-7) (8:15) | H by 1.5 |
|
| | |
|
| Correct winners: | 0/6 |
|
| Correct winner and within 8 points: | 0/6 |
|
Last Week's Games
| WEEK 18 | |
|
| SATURDAY JANUARY 3 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Carolina (8-8) at Tampa Bay (7-9) (4:30) | T by 3.5 | T 16-14
|
| Seattle (13-3) at San Francisco (12-4) (8:00) | Even - SF | Sea 13-3
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY JANUARY 4 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Cleveland (4-12) at Cincinnati (6-10) (1:00) | Cin by 6 | Cle 20-18
|
| Dallas (7-8-1) at NY Giants (3-13) | N by 0.5 | N 34-17
|
| Green Bay (9-6-1) at Minnesota (8-8) | M by 1 | M 16-3
|
| Indianapolis (8-8) at Houston (11-5) | H by 7 | H 38-30
|
| New Orleans (6-10) at Atlanta (7-9) | A by 5 | A 19-17
|
| Tennessee (3-13) at Jacksonville (12-4) | J by 15.5 | J 41-7
|
| Arizona (3-13) at LA Rams (11-5) (4:25) | L by 15.5 | L 37-20
|
| Detroit (8-8) at Chicago (11-5) | C by 4 | D 19-16
|
| Kansas City (6-10) at Las Vegas (2-14) | K by 4.5 | L 14-12
|
| LA Chargers (11-5) at Denver (13-3) | D by 4.5 | D 19-3
|
| Miami (7-9) at New England (13-3) | N by 11 | N 38-10
|
| NY Jets (3-13) at Buffalo (11-5) | B by 15.5 | B 35-8
|
| Washington (4-12) at Philadelphia (11-5) | P by 13 | W 24-17
|
| Baltimore (8-8) at Pittsburgh (9-7) (8:20) | P by 3.5 | P 26-24
|
| | |
|
| Correct winners: | 11/16 |
|
| Correct winner and within 8 points: | 5/16 |
|
NFL Team Rankings
| | Team | W | L | T | Rating | LW
|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | 14 | 3 | 0 | 59.00 | 1
|
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 12 | 5 | 0 | 57.56 | 2
|
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 13 | 4 | 0 | 56.12 | 3
|
| 4 | Houston Texans | 12 | 5 | 0 | 55.76 | 4
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54.91 | 6
|
| 6 | San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 54.90 | 5
|
| 7 | Denver Broncos | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54.34 | 9
|
| 8 | Buffalo Bills | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.98 | 8
|
| 9 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 6 | 0 | 53.08 | 7
|
| 10 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.80 | 11
|
| 11 | Chicago Bears | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.68 | 10
|
| 12 | Detroit Lions | 9 | 8 | 0 | 51.65 | 14
|
| 13 | Green Bay Packers | 9 | 7 | 1 | 51.50 | 12
|
| 14 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9 | 0 | 51.29 | 13
|
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 7 | 0 | 51.23 | 15
|
| 16 | Minnesota Vikings | 9 | 8 | 0 | 50.77 | 17
|
| 17 | Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 9 | 0 | 50.48 | 16
|
| 18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 9 | 0 | 49.52 | 18
|
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.99 | 20
|
| 20 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 11 | 0 | 48.64 | 19
|
| 21 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.47 | 21
|
| 22 | Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 9 | 1 | 46.83 | 22
|
| 23 | New Orleans Saints | 6 | 11 | 0 | 46.62 | 24
|
| 24 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 11 | 0 | 46.47 | 23
|
| 25 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 10 | 0 | 46.40 | 25
|
| 26 | New York Giants | 4 | 13 | 0 | 45.59 | 27
|
| 27 | Washington Commanders | 5 | 12 | 0 | 45.46 | 28
|
| 28 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 14 | 0 | 45.10 | 26
|
| 29 | Cleveland Browns | 5 | 12 | 0 | 44.91 | 29
|
| 30 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.21 | 30
|
| 31 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 14 | 0 | 42.19 | 32
|
| 32 | New York Jets | 3 | 14 | 0 | 41.52 | 31
|
NFL Teams By Division
PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.
| | NFL 2025 | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC EAST(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54.91 | 490 | 320 | 32
|
| 8 | Buffalo Bills | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.98 | 481 | 365 | 30
|
| 25 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 10 | 0 | 46.40 | 347 | 424 | 28
|
| 32 | New York Jets | 3 | 14 | 0 | 41.52 | 300 | 503 | 11
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC NORTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 7 | 0 | 51.23 | 397 | 387 | 18
|
| 17 | Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 9 | 0 | 50.48 | 424 | 398 | 21
|
| 24 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 11 | 0 | 46.47 | 414 | 492 | 19
|
| 29 | Cleveland Browns | 5 | 12 | 0 | 44.91 | 279 | 379 | 25
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC SOUTH(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 13 | 4 | 0 | 56.12 | 474 | 336 | 15
|
| 4 | Houston Texans | 12 | 5 | 0 | 55.76 | 404 | 295 | 6
|
| 14 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9 | 0 | 51.29 | 466 | 412 | 4
|
| 30 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 14 | 0 | 43.21 | 284 | 478 | 2
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC WEST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 7 | Denver Broncos | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54.34 | 401 | 311 | 31
|
| 10 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.80 | 368 | 340 | 27
|
| 20 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 11 | 0 | 48.64 | 362 | 328 | 22
|
| 31 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 14 | 0 | 42.19 | 241 | 432 | 10
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC EAST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 9 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 6 | 0 | 53.08 | 379 | 325 | 24
|
| 22 | Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 9 | 1 | 46.83 | 471 | 511 | 29
|
| 26 | New York Giants | 4 | 13 | 0 | 45.59 | 381 | 439 | 12
|
| 27 | Washington Commanders | 5 | 12 | 0 | 45.46 | 356 | 451 | 20
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC NORTH(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 11 | Chicago Bears | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.68 | 441 | 415 | 26
|
| 12 | Detroit Lions | 9 | 8 | 0 | 51.65 | 481 | 413 | 14
|
| 13 | Green Bay Packers | 9 | 7 | 1 | 51.50 | 391 | 360 | 23
|
| 16 | Minnesota Vikings | 9 | 8 | 0 | 50.77 | 344 | 333 | 16
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC SOUTH(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 9 | 0 | 49.52 | 380 | 411 | 8
|
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.99 | 353 | 401 | 17
|
| 21 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 9 | 0 | 48.47 | 311 | 380 | 9
|
| 23 | New Orleans Saints | 6 | 11 | 0 | 46.62 | 306 | 383 | 13
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC WEST(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | 14 | 3 | 0 | 59.00 | 483 | 292 | 7
|
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 12 | 5 | 0 | 57.56 | 518 | 346 | 3
|
| 6 | San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 54.90 | 437 | 371 | 5
|
| 28 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 14 | 0 | 45.10 | 355 | 488 | 1
|