2022 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions

Last updated: Tuesday, February 14, 2023 - final ratings Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team. These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.


NFL Football Predictions

In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals. PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES: SEASON TO DATE: 183 right, 99 wrong - 65% right; 44% right and within 8 points (123/282) WEEK BY WEEK: Week 1: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15) (1 tie - doesn't count) Week 2: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Week 3: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Week 4: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16) Week 5: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16) Week 6: 6 right, 8 wrong - 43% right; 43% right and within 8 points (6/14) Week 7: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 43% right and within 8 points (6/14) Week 8: 8 right, 7 wrong - 53% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15) Week 9: 7 right, 6 wrong - 54% right; 31% right and within 8 points (4/13) Week 10: 7 right, 7 wrong - 50% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14) Week 11: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right; 64% right and within 8 points (9/14) Week 12: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 56% right and within 8 points (9/16) Week 13: 12 right, 2 wrong - 86% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14) (1 tie - doesn't count) Week 14: 9 right, 4 wrong - 69% right; 38% right and within 8 points (5/13) Week 15: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right; 50% right and within 8 points (8/16) Week 16: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16) Week 17: 12 right, 3 wrong - 80% right; 27% right and within 8 points (4/15) (1 game canceled) Week 18: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16) Wild Card: 5 right, 1 wrong - 83% right; 50% right and within 8 points (3/6) Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right; 50% right and within 8 points (2/4) Conference: 2 right, 0 wrong - 100% right; 50% right and within 8 points (1/2) Super Bowl: 1 right, 0 wrong - 0% right, 0% right and within 8 points (0/1)



Playoff Summary


Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 14 PICK SCORE
NFC: #7 Seattle (9-8) at #2 San Francisco (13-4) (4:30) SF by 9 SF 41-23
AFC: #5 LA Chargers (10-7) at #4 Jacksonville (9-8) (8:15) J by 4 J 31-30

SUNDAY JANUARY 15 PICK SCORE
AFC: #7 Miami (9-8) at #2 Buffalo (13-3) (1:00) B by 10 B 34-31
NFC: #6 NY Giants (9-7-1) at #3 Minnesota (13-4) (4:30) M by 5 N 31-24
AFC: #6 Baltimore (10-7) at #3 Cincinnati (12-4) (8:15) C by 7 C 24-17

MONDAY JANUARY 16 PICK SCORE
NFC: #5 Dallas (12-5) at #4 Tampa Bay (8-9) (8:15) D by 3 D 31-14

Correct winners: 5/6
Correct winner and within 8 points: 3/6


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 21 PICK SCORE
AFC: #4 Jacksonville (10-8) at #1 Kansas City (14-3) (4:30) K by 8 K 27-20
NFC: #6 NY Giants (10-7-1) at #1 Philadelphia (14-3) (8:15) P by 8 P 38-7

SUNDAY JANUARY 22 PICK SCORE
AFC: #3 Cincinnati (13-4) at #2 Buffalo (14-3) (3:00) B by 4 C 27-10
NFC: #5 Dallas (13-5) at #2 San Francisco (14-4) (6:30) S by 2 S 19-12

Correct winners: 3/4
Correct winner and within 8 points: 2/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 29 PICK SCORE
NFC - #2 San Francisco (15-4) at #1 Philadelphia (15-3) (3:00) P by 4 P 31-7
AFC - #3 Cincinnati (14-4) at #1 Kansas City (15-3) (6:30) K by 1 K 23-20

Correct winners: 2/2
Correct winner and within 8 points: 1/2


Super Bowl LVII - at Glendale, AZ
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 12 PICK SCORE
Kansas City (16-3) vs. Philadelphia (16-3) (6:30) P by 1 K 38-35

Correct winners: 0/1
Correct winner and within 8 points: 0/1


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T RATING
1 Cincinnati Bengals 14 5 0 58.0
2 Philadelphia Eagles 16 4 0 57.1
3 Kansas City Chiefs 17 3 0 57.1
4 Buffalo Bills 14 4 0 56.6
5 Dallas Cowboys 13 6 0 55.6
6 San Francisco 49ers 15 5 0 55.1
7 Baltimore Ravens 10 8 0 52.7
8 Miami Dolphins 9 9 0 51.4
9 Minnesota Vikings 13 5 0 51.3
10 Detroit Lions 9 8 0 51.2
11 Jacksonville Jaguars 10 9 0 51.2
12 New York Giants 10 8 1 50.8
13 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 8 0 50.7
14 Los Angeles Chargers 10 8 0 50.4
15 New England Patriots 8 9 0 50.3
16 Green Bay Packers 8 9 0 49.8
17 Washington Commanders 8 8 1 49.8
18 New York Jets 7 10 0 49.3
19 Cleveland Browns 7 10 0 49.2
20 Seattle Seahawks 9 9 0 48.9
21 Tennessee Titans 7 10 0 48.3
22 New Orleans Saints 7 10 0 48.3
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 10 0 48.1
24 Carolina Panthers 7 10 0 47.7
25 Las Vegas Raiders 6 11 0 47.3
26 Atlanta Falcons 7 10 0 47.0
27 Denver Broncos 5 12 0 45.9
28 Los Angeles Rams 5 12 0 45.3
29 Indianapolis Colts 4 12 1 44.4
30 Arizona Cardinals 4 13 0 44.3
31 Chicago Bears 3 14 0 43.6
32 Houston Texans 3 13 1 43.1


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.


NFL 2022
AFC EAST(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 Buffalo Bills 14 4 0 56.6 499 344 12
8 Miami Dolphins 9 9 0 51.4 428 433 2
15 New England Patriots 8 9 0 50.3 364 347 9
18 New York Jets 7 10 0 49.3 296 316 4

AFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Cincinnati Bengals 14 5 0 58.0 489 372 1
7 Baltimore Ravens 10 8 0 52.7 367 339 3
13 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 8 0 50.7 308 346 5
19 Cleveland Browns 7 10 0 49.2 361 381 8

AFC SOUTH(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
11 Jacksonville Jaguars 10 9 0 51.2 455 407 16
21 Tennessee Titans 7 10 0 48.3 298 359 11
29 Indianapolis Colts 4 12 1 44.4 289 427 18
32 Houston Texans 3 13 1 43.1 289 420 21

AFC WEST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Kansas City Chiefs 17 3 0 57.1 584 444 19
14 Los Angeles Chargers 10 8 0 50.4 421 415 25
25 Las Vegas Raiders 6 11 0 47.3 395 418 27
27 Denver Broncos 5 12 0 45.9 287 359 26


NFC EAST(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 Philadelphia Eagles 16 4 0 57.1 581 396 22
5 Dallas Cowboys 13 6 0 55.6 510 375 10
12 New York Giants 10 8 1 50.8 403 433 6
17 Washington Commanders 8 8 1 49.8 321 343 13

NFC NORTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
9 Minnesota Vikings 13 5 0 51.3 448 458 29
10 Detroit Lions 9 8 0 51.2 453 427 15
16 Green Bay Packers 8 9 0 49.8 370 371 17
31 Chicago Bears 3 14 0 43.6 326 463 7

NFC SOUTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
22 New Orleans Saints 7 10 0 48.3 330 345 23
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 10 0 48.1 327 389 14
24 Carolina Panthers 7 10 0 47.7 347 374 30
26 Atlanta Falcons 7 10 0 47.0 365 386 31

NFC WEST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 San Francisco 49ers 15 5 0 55.1 517 343 32
20 Seattle Seahawks 9 9 0 48.9 430 442 28
28 Los Angeles Rams 5 12 0 45.3 307 384 24
30 Arizona Cardinals 4 13 0 44.3 340 449 20