2009 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions

Last updated: Tuesday, February 9, 2010 - final ratings

Welcome to my pro football power ratings.  I will be updating this page by each Tuesday 
night during the season.  To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take 
the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for 
the home team.

These ratings are based on several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, 
and margin of victory in games.  Enjoy!

NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T Rating
1 New Orleans Saints 16 3 0 60.5
2 Indianapolis Colts 16 3 0 59.2
3 Minnesota Vikings 13 5 0 57.1
4 New York Jets 11 8 0 56.4
5 New England Patriots 10 7 0 56.0
6 Dallas Cowboys 12 6 0 55.9
7 San Diego Chargers 13 4 0 55.5
8 Baltimore Ravens 10 8 0 55.4
9 Philadelphia Eagles 11 6 0 54.4
10 Green Bay Packers 11 6 0 54.2
11 Atlanta Falcons 9 7 0 53.5
12 Carolina Panthers 8 8 0 53.4
13 Houston Texans 9 7 0 51.8
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 7 0 51.5
15 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 51.1
16 Cincinnati Bengals 10 7 0 50.9
17 Arizona Cardinals 11 7 0 50.9
18 New York Giants 8 8 0 50.1
19 Tennessee Titans 8 8 0 49.8
20 Denver Broncos 8 8 0 49.5
21 San Francisco 49ers 8 8 0 49.3
22 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 47.9
23 Chicago Bears 7 9 0 46.8
24 Jacksonville Jaguars 7 9 0 45.8
25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 13 0 44.7
26 Washington Redskins 4 12 0 44.0
27 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 43.5
28 Oakland Raiders 5 11 0 42.7
29 Kansas City Chiefs 4 12 0 42.4
30 Seattle Seahawks 5 11 0 41.7
31 Detroit Lions 2 14 0 37.8
32 St. Louis Rams 1 15 0 36.3

NFL Teams By Division

SS=Schedule strength ranking

NFL 2009
AFC EAST(2) W L T Rating SS
4 New York Jets 11 8 0 56.4 4
5 New England Patriots 10 7 0 56.0 6
15 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 51.1 2
22 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 47.9 5

AFC NORTH(5) W L T Rating SS
8 Baltimore Ravens 10 8 0 55.4 9
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 7 0 51.5 25
16 Cincinnati Bengals 10 7 0 50.9 18
27 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 43.5 21

AFC SOUTH(3) W L T Rating SS
2 Indianapolis Colts 16 3 0 59.2 14
13 Houston Texans 9 7 0 51.8 23
19 Tennessee Titans 8 8 0 49.8 10
24 Jacksonville Jaguars 7 9 0 45.8 19

AFC WEST(7) W L T Rating SS
7 San Diego Chargers 13 4 0 55.5 27
20 Denver Broncos 8 8 0 49.5 16
28 Oakland Raiders 5 11 0 42.7 11
29 Kansas City Chiefs 4 12 0 42.4 22


NFC EAST(4) W L T Rating SS
6 Dallas Cowboys 12 6 0 55.9 13
9 Philadelphia Eagles 11 6 0 54.4 12
18 New York Giants 8 8 0 50.1 8
26 Washington Redskins 4 12 0 44.0 20

NFC NORTH(6) W L T Rating SS
3 Minnesota Vikings 13 5 0 57.1 28
10 Green Bay Packers 11 6 0 54.2 31
23 Chicago Bears 7 9 0 46.8 26
31 Detroit Lions 2 14 0 37.8 17

NFC SOUTH(1) W L T Rating SS
1 New Orleans Saints 16 3 0 60.5 15
11 Atlanta Falcons 9 7 0 53.5 7
12 Carolina Panthers 8 8 0 53.4 3
25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 13 0 44.7 1

NFC WEST(8) W L T Rating SS
17 Arizona Cardinals 11 7 0 50.9 29
21 San Francisco 49ers 8 8 0 49.3 32
30 Seattle Seahawks 5 11 0 41.7 30
32 St. Louis Rams 1 15 0 36.3 24

NFL Football Predictions



SEASON RESULTS:        
Simmons:     169 right, 98 wrong - 63% accuracy rate
Sagarin:     176 right, 91 wrong - 66% accuracy rate
Vegas line:  184 right, 83 wrong - 69% accuracy rate