2017 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions


Last updated: Tuesday, February 6, 2018 - final ratings

These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T Rating
1 Philadelphia Eagles 16 3 0 58.7
2 New England Patriots 15 4 0 57.3
3 Minnesota Vikings 14 4 0 56.8
4 New Orleans Saints 12 6 0 56.0
5 Atlanta Falcons 11 7 0 54.9
6 Los Angeles Rams 11 6 0 54.8
7 Pittsburgh Steelers 13 4 0 54.8
8 Carolina Panthers 11 6 0 54.2
9 Jacksonville Jaguars 12 7 0 54.0
10 Kansas City Chiefs 10 7 0 52.4
11 Los Angeles Chargers 9 7 0 52.3
12 Seattle Seahawks 9 7 0 51.7
13 Dallas Cowboys 9 7 0 51.7
14 Detroit Lions 9 7 0 51.5
15 Baltimore Ravens 9 7 0 51.5
16 Tennessee Titans 10 8 0 49.4
17 Buffalo Bills 9 8 0 49.2
18 Washington Redskins 7 9 0 49.0
19 Arizona Cardinals 8 8 0 48.2
20 Green Bay Packers 7 9 0 48.1
21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 11 0 47.9
22 Chicago Bears 5 11 0 47.6
23 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 47.5
24 Oakland Raiders 6 10 0 46.9
25 Cincinnati Bengals 7 9 0 46.8
26 Miami Dolphins 6 10 0 46.5
27 New York Jets 5 11 0 45.9
28 Denver Broncos 5 11 0 45.0
29 Houston Texans 4 12 0 44.0
30 New York Giants 3 13 0 43.5
31 Indianapolis Colts 4 12 0 42.9
32 Cleveland Browns 0 16 0 39.4


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest).  SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.

NFL 2017
AFC EAST(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 New England Patriots 15 4 0 57.3 550 371 23
17 Buffalo Bills 9 8 0 49.2 305 369 13
26 Miami Dolphins 6 10 0 46.5 281 393 8
27 New York Jets 5 11 0 45.9 298 382 11

AFC NORTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Pittsburgh Steelers 13 4 0 54.8 448 353 30
15 Baltimore Ravens 9 7 0 51.5 395 303 32
25 Cincinnati Bengals 7 9 0 46.8 290 349 31
32 Cleveland Browns 0 16 0 39.4 234 410 19

AFC SOUTH(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
9 Jacksonville Jaguars 12 7 0 54.0 492 337 27
16 Tennessee Titans 10 8 0 49.4 370 412 25
29 Houston Texans 4 12 0 44.0 338 436 22
31 Indianapolis Colts 4 12 0 42.9 263 404 28

AFC WEST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
10 Kansas City Chiefs 10 7 0 52.4 436 361 26
11 Los Angeles Chargers 9 7 0 52.3 355 272 29
24 Oakland Raiders 6 10 0 46.9 301 373 14
28 Denver Broncos 5 11 0 45.0 289 382 24


NFC EAST(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Philadelphia Eagles 16 3 0 58.7 551 345 18
13 Dallas Cowboys 9 7 0 51.7 354 332 16
18 Washington Redskins 7 9 0 49.0 342 388 7
30 New York Giants 3 13 0 43.5 246 388 9

NFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Minnesota Vikings 14 4 0 56.8 418 314 10
14 Detroit Lions 9 7 0 51.5 410 376 17
20 Green Bay Packers 7 9 0 48.1 320 384 6
22 Chicago Bears 5 11 0 47.6 264 320 5

NFC SOUTH(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 New Orleans Saints 12 6 0 56.0 503 381 3
5 Atlanta Falcons 11 7 0 54.9 389 343 1
8 Carolina Panthers 11 6 0 54.2 389 358 2
21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 11 0 47.9 335 382 4

NFC WEST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Los Angeles Rams 11 6 0 54.8 491 355 12
12 Seattle Seahawks 9 7 0 51.7 366 332 21
19 Arizona Cardinals 8 8 0 48.2 295 361 20
23 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 47.5 331 383 15


NFL Football Predictions


In this section are my results at picking game winners this season, and 
also the results of picking both the game winner and getting the margin of
victory correct within 7 points.


PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES:

SEASON TO DATE:
Brian Simmons: 172 right, 95 wrong - 64% right, 36% right and within 7 points (96/267)

Playoff Summary


Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 6 PICK SCORE
Tennessee (9-7) at Kansas City (10-6) (4:20) K by 7 T 22-21
Atlanta (10-6) at LA Rams (11-5) (8:15) L by 5 A 26-13

SUNDAY JANUARY 7 PICK SCORE
Buffalo (9-7) at Jacksonville (10-6) (1:05) J by 7 J 10-3
Carolina (11-5) at New Orleans (11-5) (4:40) N by 5 N 31-26
Correct winners: 2/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 2/4


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 13 PICK SCORE
Atlanta (11-6) at Philadelphia (13-3) (4:35) P by 5 P 15-10
Tennessee (10-7) at New England (13-3) (8:15) N by 11 N 35-14

SUNDAY JANUARY 14 PICK SCORE
Jacksonville (11-6) at Pittsburgh (13-3) (1:05) P by 5 J 45-42
New Orleans (12-5) at Minnesota (13-3) (4:40) M by 4 M 29-24
Correct winners: 3/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 2/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 21 PICK SCORE
AFC - Jacksonville (12-6) at New England (14-3) (3:05) N by 7 N 24-20
NFC - Minnesota (14-3) at Philadelphia (14-3) (6:40) P by 3 P 38-7
Correct winners: 2/2
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/2


Super Bowl LII - at Minneapolis, MN
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 4 PICK SCORE
New England (15-3) vs. Philadelphia (15-3) (6:30) Even - P P 41-33
Correct winners: 1/1
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/1