2018 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions

Last updated: Tuesday, February 5, 2019 - final ratings These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T RATING
1 New England Patriots 14 5 0 57.0
2 New Orleans Saints 14 4 0 56.8
3 Los Angeles Rams 15 4 0 56.7
4 Kansas City Chiefs 13 5 0 56.1
5 Los Angeles Chargers 13 5 0 55.2
6 Chicago Bears 12 5 0 54.4
7 Baltimore Ravens 10 7 0 53.5
8 Indianapolis Colts 11 7 0 53.5
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 6 1 53.4
10 Philadelphia Eagles 10 8 0 53.0
11 Houston Texans 11 6 0 52.8
12 Seattle Seahawks 10 7 0 52.4
13 Dallas Cowboys 11 7 0 52.1
14 Tennessee Titans 9 7 0 51.5
15 Minnesota Vikings 8 7 1 51.0
16 Cleveland Browns 7 8 1 49.4
17 Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 49.3
18 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 0 48.9
19 Denver Broncos 6 10 0 48.1
20 Detroit Lions 6 10 0 47.5
21 Green Bay Packers 6 9 1 47.4
22 Jacksonville Jaguars 5 11 0 47.3
23 Cincinnati Bengals 6 10 0 47.1
24 Washington Redskins 7 9 0 47.1
25 New York Giants 5 11 0 46.9
26 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 46.4
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 11 0 46.4
28 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 45.3
29 San Francisco 49ers 4 12 0 44.3
30 New York Jets 4 12 0 44.0
31 Oakland Raiders 4 12 0 43.4
32 Arizona Cardinals 3 13 0 41.7


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for PA = Points against SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.


NFL 2018
AFC EAST(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 New England Patriots 14 5 0 57.0 527 387 9
26 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 46.4 269 374 15
28 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 45.3 319 433 30
30 New York Jets 4 12 0 44.0 333 441 22

AFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Baltimore Ravens 10 7 0 53.5 406 310 13
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 9 6 1 53.4 428 360 12
16 Cleveland Browns 7 8 1 49.4 359 392 11
23 Cincinnati Bengals 6 10 0 47.1 368 455 4

AFC SOUTH(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
8 Indianapolis Colts 11 7 0 53.5 467 382 14
11 Houston Texans 11 6 0 52.8 409 337 27
14 Tennessee Titans 9 7 0 51.5 310 303 19
22 Jacksonville Jaguars 5 11 0 47.3 245 316 2

AFC WEST(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 Kansas City Chiefs 13 5 0 56.1 627 471 21
5 Los Angeles Chargers 13 5 0 55.2 479 387 6
19 Denver Broncos 6 10 0 48.1 329 349 18
31 Oakland Raiders 4 12 0 43.4 290 467 3


NFC EAST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
10 Philadelphia Eagles 10 8 0 53.0 397 383 1
13 Dallas Cowboys 11 7 0 52.1 385 376 5
24 Washington Redskins 7 9 0 47.1 281 359 23
25 New York Giants 5 11 0 46.9 369 412 10

NFC NORTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Chicago Bears 12 5 0 54.4 436 299 32
15 Minnesota Vikings 8 7 1 51.0 360 341 26
20 Detroit Lions 6 10 0 47.5 324 360 28
21 Green Bay Packers 6 9 1 47.4 376 400 31

NFC SOUTH(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 New Orleans Saints 14 4 0 56.8 547 393 20
17 Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 49.3 376 382 16
18 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 0 48.9 414 423 25
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 11 0 46.4 396 464 7

NFC WEST(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Los Angeles Rams 15 4 0 56.7 586 442 8
12 Seattle Seahawks 10 7 0 52.4 450 371 29
29 San Francisco 49ers 4 12 0 44.3 342 435 24
32 Arizona Cardinals 3 13 0 41.7 225 425 17


NFL Football Predictions


In this section are my results at picking game winners this season, and also the results of picking both the game winner and getting the margin of victory correct within 7 points. PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES: SEASON TO DATE: Brian Simmons: 163 right, 102 wrong - 62% right, 37% right and within 7 points (98/265) (2 games were ties - not counted)

Playoff Summary


Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 5 PICK SCORE
Indianapolis (10-6) at Houston (11-5) (4:35) H by 4 I 21-7
Seattle (10-6) at Dallas (10-6) (8:15) D by 2 D 24-22

SUNDAY JANUARY 6 PICK SCORE
LA Chargers (12-4) at Baltimore (10-6) (1:05) B by 2 L 23-17
Philadelphia (9-7) at Chicago (12-4) (4:40) C by 6 P 16-15
Correct winners: 1/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/4


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 12 PICK SCORE
Indianapolis (11-6) at Kansas City (12-4) (4:35) K by 5 K 31-13
Dallas (11-6) at LA Rams (13-3) (8:15) L by 7 L 30-22

SUNDAY JANUARY 13 PICK SCORE
LA Chargers (13-4) at New England (11-5) (1:05) N by 1 N 41-28
Philadelphia (10-7) at New Orleans (13-3) (4:40) N by 7 N 20-14
Correct winners: 4/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 2/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 20 PICK SCORE
NFC - LA Rams (14-3) at New Orleans (14-3) (3:05) N by 4 L 26-23(ot)
AFC - New England (12-5) at Kansas City (13-4) (6:40) K by 5 N 37-31(ot)
Correct winners: 0/2
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/2


Super Bowl LIII - at Atlanta, GA
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 3 PICK SCORE
New England (13-5) vs. LA Rams (15-3) (6:30) L by 1 N 13-3
Correct winners: 0/1
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/1