2018 NC High School Football Picks/Scoreboard
Last updated: Saturday, December 15 - through games of December 15
Prediction Accuracy
PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 7 PTS. ON SPREAD:
LAST WEEK: 7 right, 1 wrong - 88% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(3/8)
SEASON TOTAL: 2013 right, 423 wrong - 83% right; 33% right and within 7 pts.(811/2436)
SEASON PERFORMANCE WEEK-BY-WEEK:
Week 1: 150 right, 45 wrong - 77% right; 27% right and within 7 pts.(52/195)
Week 2: 160 right, 39 wrong - 80% right; 35% right and within 7 pts.(69/199)
Week 3: 155 right, 32 wrong - 83% right; 32% right and within 7 pts.(59/187)
Week 4: 152 right, 46 wrong - 77% right; 29% right and within 7 pts.(57/198)
Week 5: 73 right, 13 wrong - 85% right; 33% right and within 7 pts.(28/86)
Week 6: 129 right, 23 wrong - 85% right; 35% right and within 7 pts.(53/152)
Week 7: 138 right, 23 wrong - 86% right; 37% right and within 7 pts.(60/161)
Week 8: 165 right, 29 wrong - 85% right; 34% right and within 7 pts.(65/194)
Week 9: 143 right, 26 wrong - 85% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(61/169)
Week 10: 177 right, 21 wrong - 89% right; 39% right and within 7 pts.(78/198)
Week 11: 167 right, 25 wrong - 87% right; 43% right and within 7 pts.(82/192)
Week 12: 161 right, 29 wrong - 85% right; 32% right and within 7 pts.(61/190)
Week 13: 79 right, 18 wrong - 81% right; 35% right and within 7 pts.(34/97)
Playoffs:
Round 1: 75 right, 23 wrong - 77% right; 36% right and within 7 pts.(35/98)
Round 2: 49 right, 15 wrong - 77% right; 31% right and within 7 pts.(20/64)
Round 3: 21 right, 11 wrong - 66% right; 31% right and within 7 pts.(10/32)
Regionals: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 25% right and within 7 pts.(4/16)
State: 7 right, 1 wrong - 88% right; 38% right and within 7 pts.(3/8)
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two
teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory
exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and
divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running
clock once spread hits 42). For example, 60 points would become 51; 50 points
would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more accurate as the season
progresses.
Playoffs: State Finals Picks and Scores
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - DECEMBER 14-15, 2018 | |
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| STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS | |
|
| 4AA - at Duke Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| Wake Forest (13-0) vs. Zebulon B. Vance (14-1) | W by 8 | W 9-7
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| 4A - at Duke Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| Scotland (9-5) vs. East Forsyth (14-0) | E by 15 | E 35-28
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| 3AA - at Univ. of North Carolina | PICK | SCORE
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| Southeast Guilford (14-1) vs. Weddington (14-1) | W by 11 | W 27-14
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| 3A - at Univ. of North Carolina | PICK | SCORE
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| Jacksonville (11-1) vs. Charlotte Catholic (14-1) | C by 8 | C 17-14
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| 2AA - at N.C. State Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| North Davidson (13-2) vs. Shelby (12-3) | S by 1 | S 42-21
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| 2A - at N.C. State Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| Northeastern (14-0) vs. Reidsville (15-0) | N by 1 | R 31-28
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| 1AA - at N.C. State Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| Tarboro (14-0) vs. East Surry (11-3) | T by 23 | T 50-10
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| 1A - at Duke Univ. | PICK | SCORE
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| Pamlico County (13-1) vs. Murphy (12-1) | M by 2 | M 60-27
|
| For the week: | 7/8 | 87.5%
|
| Correct pick and within 7 points or less: | 3/8 | 37.5%
|
Last Week's Picks and Scores
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY DECEMBER 7, 2018 | |
|
| REGIONAL FINALS | |
|
| 4AA | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #6 Pinecrest (11-3) at #1 Wake Forest (12-0) | W by 24 | W 49-7
|
| West - #6 Myers Park (13-1) at #5 Zebulon B. Vance (13-1) | M by 4 | V 21-13
|
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|
| 4A | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #10 Scotland (8-5) at #5 Seventy-First (11-3) | Sev by 2 | Scot 28-0
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| West - #6 Porter Ridge (10-4) at #1 East Forsyth (13-0) | E by 14 | E 32-14
|
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|
| 3AA | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #4 Cleveland (12-2) at #2 Southeast Guilford (13-1) | Even - S | S 37-33
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| West - #5 Weddington (13-1) at #3 Mount Tabor (10-4) | W by 14 | W 45-12
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| 3A | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #6 Jacksonville (10-1) at #1 Havelock (13-0) | H by 7 | J 41-34
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| West - #5 Kings Mountain (12-2) at #3 Charlotte Catholic (13-1) | C by 14 | C 30-7
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|
| 2AA | PICK | SCORE
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| East - #3 North Davidson (12-2) at #1 Ledford (13-1) | N by 5 | N 24-7
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| West - #4 Shelby (11-3) at #2 Hibriten (14-0) | H by 8 | S 28-21
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| 2A | PICK | SCORE
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| East - #6 Southwest Onslow (12-2) at #1 Northeastern (13-0) | N by 7 | N 47-36
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| West - #8 Brevard (11-3) at #2 Reidsville (14-0) | R by 17 | R 24-21
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|
| 1AA | PICK | SCORE
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| East - #3 Edenton Holmes (12-1) at #1 Tarboro (13-0) | T by 22 | T 48-7
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| West - #4 East Surry (10-3) at #2 Starmount (7-6) | E by 19 | E 44-27
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| 1A | PICK | SCORE
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| East - #4 Rosewood (9-2) at #2 Pamlico County (12-1) | P by 18 | P 16-12
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| West - #4 Robbinsville (11-2) at #3 Murphy (11-1) | M by 13 | M 28-6
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| For the week: | 12/16 | 75.0%
|
| Correct pick and within 7 points or less: | 4/16 | 25.0%
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