2019 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions



Last updated: Tuesday, February 4, 2020 - final ratings

These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.

NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T RATING
1 Kansas City Chiefs 15 4 0 59.3
2 San Francisco 49ers 15 4 0 58.3
3 Baltimore Ravens 14 3 0 57.8
4 New Orleans Saints 13 4 0 55.8
5 Tennessee Titans 11 8 0 55.7
6 New England Patriots 12 5 0 54.9
7 Green Bay Packers 14 4 0 54.6
8 Minnesota Vikings 11 7 0 54.4
9 Seattle Seahawks 12 6 0 53.7
10 Los Angeles Rams 9 7 0 53.1
11 Houston Texans 11 7 0 52.0
12 Buffalo Bills 10 7 0 51.4
13 Dallas Cowboys 8 8 0 51.2
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 8 0 50.0
15 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 0 50.0
16 Chicago Bears 8 8 0 49.9
17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 9 0 49.8
18 Denver Broncos 7 9 0 49.4
19 Indianapolis Colts 7 9 0 49.1
20 Philadelphia Eagles 9 8 0 49.0
21 Los Angeles Chargers 5 11 0 48.2
22 Cleveland Browns 6 10 0 47.8
23 Oakland Raiders 7 9 0 47.1
24 Arizona Cardinals 5 10 1 46.8
25 Jacksonville Jaguars 6 10 0 46.6
26 New York Jets 7 9 0 45.7
27 Carolina Panthers 5 11 0 45.6
28 Detroit Lions 3 12 1 44.3
29 Cincinnati Bengals 2 14 0 42.5
30 New York Giants 4 12 0 42.3
31 Miami Dolphins 5 11 0 42.2
32 Washington Redskins 3 13 0 41.2


NFL Teams By Division


PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest).  SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.

NFL 2019
AFC EAST(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 New England Patriots 12 5 0 54.9 433 245 28
12 Buffalo Bills 10 7 0 51.4 333 281 26
26 New York Jets 7 9 0 45.7 276 359 30
31 Miami Dolphins 5 11 0 42.2 306 494 27

AFC NORTH(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Baltimore Ravens 14 3 0 57.8 543 310 20
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 8 0 50.0 289 303 24
22 Cleveland Browns 6 10 0 47.8 335 393 12
29 Cincinnati Bengals 2 14 0 42.5 279 420 16

AFC SOUTH(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
5 Tennessee Titans 11 8 0 55.7 474 391 1
11 Houston Texans 11 7 0 52.0 431 455 3
19 Indianapolis Colts 7 9 0 49.1 361 373 21
25 Jacksonville Jaguars 6 10 0 46.6 300 397 17

AFC WEST(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Kansas City Chiefs 15 4 0 59.3 568 383 9
18 Denver Broncos 7 9 0 49.4 282 316 11
21 Los Angeles Chargers 5 11 0 48.2 337 345 13
23 Oakland Raiders 7 9 0 47.1 313 419 15


NFC EAST(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
13 Dallas Cowboys 8 8 0 51.2 434 321 32
20 Philadelphia Eagles 9 8 0 49.0 394 371 29
30 New York Giants 4 12 0 42.3 341 451 31
32 Washington Redskins 3 13 0 41.2 266 435 25

NFC NORTH(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Green Bay Packers 14 4 0 54.6 424 373 14
8 Minnesota Vikings 11 7 0 54.4 443 350 4
16 Chicago Bears 8 8 0 49.9 280 298 23
28 Detroit Lions 3 12 1 44.3 341 423 22

NFC SOUTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 New Orleans Saints 13 4 0 55.8 478 367 18
15 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 0 50.0 381 399 6
17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 9 0 49.8 458 449 19
27 Carolina Panthers 5 11 0 45.6 340 470 8

NFC WEST(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 San Francisco 49ers 15 4 0 58.3 563 371 7
9 Seattle Seahawks 12 6 0 53.7 445 435 2
10 Los Angeles Rams 9 7 0 53.1 394 364 5
24 Arizona Cardinals 5 10 1 46.8 361 442 10


NFL Football Predictions



In this section are my results at picking game winners this season, and 
also the results of picking both the game winner and getting the margin of
victory correct within 7 points.


PICKING WINNERS/POINT SPREAD IN GAMES:

SEASON TO DATE:
Brian Simmons: 175 right, 91 wrong - 66% right, 36% right and within 7 points (97/266) (1 game was a tie - not counted)

Playoff Summary


Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 4 PICK SCORE
Buffalo (10-6) at Houston (10-6) (4:35) H by 3 H 22-19(ot)
Tennessee (9-7) at New England (12-4) (8:15) N by 7 T 20-13

SUNDAY JANUARY 5 PICK SCORE
Minnesota (10-6) at New Orleans (13-3) (1:05) N by 6 M 26-20(ot)
Seattle (11-5) at Philadelphia (9-7) (4:40) Even - S S 17-9
Correct winners: 2/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/4


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 11 PICK SCORE
Minnesota (11-6) at San Francisco (13-3) (4:35) S by 6 S 27-10
Tennessee (10-7) at Baltimore (14-2) (8:15) B by 9 T 28-12

SUNDAY JANUARY 12 PICK SCORE
Houston (11-6) at Kansas City (12-4) (3:05) K by 8 K 51-31
Seattle (12-5) at Green Bay (13-3) (6:40) G by 4 G 28-23
Correct winners: 3/4
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 19 PICK SCORE
AFC - Tennessee (11-7) at Kansas City (13-4) (3:05) K by 5 K 35-24
NFC - Green Bay (14-3) at San Francisco (14-3) (6:40) S by 6 S 37-20
Correct winners: 2/2
Correct winner and within 7 points: 1/2


Super Bowl LIV - at Miami, FL
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 2 PICK SCORE
San Francisco (15-3) vs. Kansas City (14-4) (6:30) S by 1 K 31-20
Correct winners: 0/1
Correct winner and within 7 points: 0/1